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Aug 4, 2022 at 3.30am UK at Jeld-Wen Field
Portland
1 - 1
Nashville
Moreno (27')
McGraw (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bunbury (20')
Zimmerman (45+1'), Williams (60'), Bunbury (67')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Portland Timbers 1-1 Nashville SC

These are the top two teams in the Western Conference regarding draws, and with the standings so tight, we do not expect either team to take too many chances, seeing as they are both currently above the playoff line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 51.24%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 24.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawNashville SC
51.24% (-0.581 -0.58) 24.38% (0.17 0.17) 24.38% (0.402 0.4)
Both teams to score 53.14% (-0.106 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.33% (-0.352 -0.35)48.66% (0.34399999999999 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.22% (-0.32 -0.32)70.78% (0.31399999999999 0.31)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.01% (-0.363 -0.36)18.99% (0.356 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.46% (-0.603 -0.6)50.53% (0.597 0.6)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.6% (0.16 0.16)34.4% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.89% (0.17 0.17)71.1% (-0.17699999999999 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 51.24%
    Nashville SC 24.38%
    Draw 24.38%
Portland TimbersDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 10.85% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.01% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.99% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.07% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 51.24%
1-1 @ 11.58% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.53% (0.092 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.38%
0-1 @ 6.97% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 6.18% (0.073 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.72% (0.085 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.2% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 24.38%

How you voted: Portlvs vs Nashville

Portland Timbers
Draw
Nashville SC
Portland Timbers
54.8%
Draw
41.9%
Nashville SC
3.2%
31
Head to Head
Jul 4, 2022 1.30am
Nashville
2-2
Portland
Davis (19'), Williams (57')
Zimmerman (77')
Asprilla (64' pen.), Niezgoda (70')
Ayala (29'), McGraw (50')
Jul 6, 2020 12am
Mar 8, 2020 11pm
Portland
1-0
Nashville
Valeri (12')
Mabiala (5'), Chara (84'), Duvall (90')

Lovitz (29')
rhs 2.0
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Tables

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia31189468224663
2CF MontrealMontreal3016595547853
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls31148947371050
4New York City FCNY City311371151391246
5FC CincinnatiCincinnati30101285449542
6Orlando City29126113645-942
7Columbus Crew2991463933641
8New England RevolutionNew England30911104344-138
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta3099124550-536
10Inter MiamiInter Miami29106133649-1336
11Chicago Fire3098133139-835
12Charlotte FCCharlotte FC30112173546-1135
13Toronto3197154957-834
14DC United3076173259-2727

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia31189468224663
2CF MontrealMontreal3016595547853
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls31148947371050
4New York City FCNY City311371151391246
5FC CincinnatiCincinnati30101285449542
6Orlando City29126113645-942
7Columbus Crew2991463933641
8New England RevolutionNew England30911104344-138
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta3099124550-536
10Inter MiamiInter Miami29106133649-1336
11Chicago Fire3098133139-835
12Charlotte FCCharlotte FC30112173546-1135
13Toronto3197154957-834
14DC United3076173259-2727

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