

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Vizela | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Rio Ave | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Porto | 6 | 11 | 15 |
| 3 | Braga | 5 | 15 | 13 |
| 4 | Portimonense | 6 | 1 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 54.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 21.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.08%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Braga |
| 21.34% ( | 24.07% ( | 54.59% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.41% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.53% ( | 50.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.61% ( | 72.39% ( |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.76% ( | 38.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.01% ( | 74.99% ( |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.62% ( | 18.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.48% ( | 49.52% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 6.76% ( 2-1 @ 5.5% ( 2-0 @ 3.25% ( 3-1 @ 1.76% ( 3-2 @ 1.49% ( 3-0 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 1.54% Total : 21.34% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( 0-0 @ 7.03% ( 2-2 @ 4.66% ( Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.06% | 0-1 @ 11.9% ( 0-2 @ 10.08% ( 1-2 @ 9.69% ( 0-3 @ 5.69% ( 1-3 @ 5.47% ( 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0-4 @ 2.41% ( 1-4 @ 2.32% ( 2-4 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 3.27% Total : 54.58% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 61 | 20 | 41 | 53 |
| 2 | Benfica | 23 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 53 | 18 | 35 | 53 |
| 3 | Porto | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 49 | 19 | 30 | 50 |
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 47 |
| 5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 39 |
| 6 | Casa Pia | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 36 |
| 7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 35 |
| 8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
| 9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 31 |
| 10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 29 |
| 11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 27 |
| 12 | Nacional | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 26 |
| 13 | AroucaArouca | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 25 |
| 14 | AVS | 24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 23 |
| 15 | Gil Vicente | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 22 |
| 16 | Estrela Amadora | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 22 |
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 15 | 34 | -19 | 16 |
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 15 |
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