

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Vizela | 5 | -1 | 5 | 
| 13 | Rio Ave | 5 | -2 | 5 | 
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 5 | -2 | 5 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Porto | 6 | 11 | 15 | 
| 3 | Braga | 5 | 15 | 13 | 
| 4 | Portimonense | 6 | 1 | 12 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 54.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 21.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.08%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Braga | 
| 21.34% (  0.01) | 24.07% (  -0.06) | 54.59% (  0.05) | 
| Both teams to score 50.41% (  0.19) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 49.53% (  0.25) | 50.46% (  -0.25) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 27.61% (  0.22) | 72.39% (  -0.22) | 
| Rio Ave Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 61.76% (  0.15) | 38.23% (  -0.15) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.01% (  0.15) | 74.99% (  -0.14) | 
| Braga Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 81.62% (  0.11) | 18.38% (  -0.11) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.48% (  0.19) | 49.52% (  -0.19) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Rio Ave | Draw | Braga | 
| 1-0 @ 6.76% (  -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.5% (  0.01) 2-0 @ 3.25% (  -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.76% (  0.01) 3-2 @ 1.49% (  0.01) 3-0 @ 1.04% (  0) Other @ 1.54% Total : 21.34% | 1-1 @ 11.44% (  -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.03% (  -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.66% (  0.03) Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.06% | 0-1 @ 11.9% (  -0.08) 0-2 @ 10.08% (  -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.69% (  0.01) 0-3 @ 5.69% (  0) 1-3 @ 5.47% (  0.03) 2-3 @ 2.63% (  0.02) 0-4 @ 2.41% (  0.01) 1-4 @ 2.32% (  0.02) 2-4 @ 1.11% (  0.01) Other @ 3.27% Total : 54.58% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 61 | 20 | 41 | 53 | 
| 2 | Benfica | 23 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 53 | 18 | 35 | 53 | 
| 3 | Porto | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 49 | 19 | 30 | 50 | 
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 47 | 
| 5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 39 | 
| 6 | Casa Pia | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 36 | 
| 7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 35 | 
| 8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 | 
| 9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 31 | 
| 10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 29 | 
| 11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 27 | 
| 12 | Nacional | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 26 | 
| 13 | AroucaArouca | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 25 | 
| 14 | AVS | 24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 23 | 
| 15 | Gil Vicente | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 22 | 
| 16 | Estrela Amadora | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 22 | 
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 15 | 34 | -19 | 16 | 
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 15 | 
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