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AFC Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 3, 2025 at 4pm UK
Azadi Stadium
Al-Nassr

Esteghlal
0 - 0
Al-Nassr

FT
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Round of 16 clash between Esteghlal and Al-Nassr.

Form, Standings, Stats

Esteghlal

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Esteghlal 0-1 Al-Nassr
Tuesday, October 22 at 5pm in AFC Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Al-Nassr

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Orubah 2-1 Al-Nassr
Friday, February 28 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 58.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Esteghlal had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.03%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Esteghlal win it was 1-0 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
EsteghlalDrawAl-Nassr
18.17% (0.09 0.09) 22.84% (-0.361 -0.36) 58.98% (0.264 0.26)
Both teams to score 49.12% (1.229 1.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.38% (1.559 1.56)49.62% (-1.566 -1.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.36% (1.382 1.38)71.64% (-1.389 -1.39)
Esteghlal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.82% (1.022 1.02)41.18% (-1.03 -1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.28% (0.896 0.9)77.71% (-0.90300000000001 -0.9)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.51% (0.642 0.64)16.49% (-0.648 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.79% (1.151 1.15)46.21% (-1.157 -1.16)
Score Analysis
    Esteghlal 18.17%
    Al-Nassr 58.97%
    Draw 22.83%
EsteghlalDrawAl-Nassr
1-0 @ 6.02% (-0.215 -0.22)
2-1 @ 4.82% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 2.67% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.43% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.28% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 18.17%
1-1 @ 10.85% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 6.79% (-0.443 -0.44)
2-2 @ 4.34% (0.155 0.16)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 22.83%
0-1 @ 12.23% (-0.52 -0.52)
0-2 @ 11.03% (-0.22 -0.22)
1-2 @ 9.79% (0.08 0.08)
0-3 @ 6.63% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.88% (0.173 0.17)
0-4 @ 2.99% (0.068 0.07)
1-4 @ 2.65% (0.133 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.147 0.15)
2-4 @ 1.18% (0.09 0.09)
0-5 @ 1.08% (0.048 0.05)
1-5 @ 0.96% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 58.97%

How you voted: Esteghlal vs Al-Nassr

Esteghlal
22.2%
Draw
0.0%
Al-Nassr
77.8%
9
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2024 5pm
Group Stage
Esteghlal
0-1
Al-Nassr

Masharipov (49')
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