MX23RW : Wednesday, April 30 07:41:05| >> :300:86500:86500:
Women's Super League | Gameweek 20
Apr 30, 2025 at 8.15pm UK
Leigh Sports Village Stadium

Man Utd
vs.
Chelsea

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Super League clash between Manchester United Women and Chelsea Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 0-0 Man Utd
Saturday, April 19 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea 1-4 Barcelona
Sunday, April 27 at 2pm in Women's Champions League

We say: Manchester United Women 1-1 Chelsea Women

Chelsea could be physically and emotionally exhausted following Sunday's 4-1 defeat to Barcelona at Stamford Bridge, and while they will want to return to winning ways on Wednesday, we think thatvthey will have to settle for a draw when they face a Man United side that have avoided defeat in all nine of their WSL home games this season (W7, D2). Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Chelsea Women has a probability of 27.95% and a draw has a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.67%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win is 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.25%).

Result
Manchester United WomenDrawChelsea Women
49.29% (0.542 0.54) 22.76% (0.267 0.27) 27.95% (-0.808 -0.81)
Both teams to score 62.04% (-1.621 -1.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.55% (-1.861 -1.86)38.45% (1.863 1.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.26% (-2.001 -2)60.74% (2.003 2)
Manchester United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.12% (-0.495 -0.5)15.88% (0.498 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.9% (-0.921 -0.92)45.1% (0.923 0.92)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.75% (-1.482 -1.48)26.25% (1.485 1.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.65% (-2.027 -2.03)61.35% (2.028 2.03)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United Women 49.29%
    Chelsea Women 27.95%
    Draw 22.75%
Manchester United WomenDrawChelsea Women
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.124 0.12)
1-0 @ 7.67% (0.539 0.54)
2-0 @ 7.06% (0.383 0.38)
3-1 @ 5.79% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.33% (0.164 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.87% (-0.184 -0.18)
4-1 @ 2.66% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.99% (0.042 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.78% (-0.117 -0.12)
5-1 @ 0.98% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 49.29%
1-1 @ 10.25% (0.298 0.3)
2-2 @ 6.31% (-0.189 -0.19)
0-0 @ 4.17% (0.359 0.36)
3-3 @ 1.73% (-0.161 -0.16)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.75%
1-2 @ 6.86% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-1 @ 5.57% (0.258 0.26)
0-2 @ 3.73% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.06% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-3 @ 1.66% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 27.95%

Who will win Wednesday's Women's Super League clash between Man Utd and Chelsea?

Manchester United Women
Draw
Chelsea Women
Manchester United Women
35.3%
Draw
11.8%
Chelsea Women
52.9%
17
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2024 12pm
Gameweek 3
Chelsea
1-0
Man Utd
Reiten (17' pen.)
Cuthbert (90+6')

Tullis-Joyce (16'), Deman (30'), Clinton (40'), Bloodworth (74')
May 18, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 22
Man Utd
0-6
Chelsea

Garcia (67')
Ramirez (2', 45+2'), Rytting-Kaneryd (8'), Nusken (44'), Leupolz (47'), Kirby (85')
Apr 14, 2024 2.35pm
Semi-Finals
Man Utd Women
2-1
Chelsea Women
Garcia (1'), Deman (23')
Turner (45+5'), Garcia (68'), Mannion (77'), Parris (78'), Earps (79')
James (45+4')
James (45+5')
Jan 21, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 11
Chelsea Women
3-1
Man Utd Women
James (5', 23', 85')
Ladd (43')
Ladd (50'), Parris (76')
May 14, 2023 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
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