MX23RW : Saturday, May 24 16:57:58| >> :120:4914:4914:
Women's Champions League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 27, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stamford Bridge

Chelsea
1 - 4
Barcelona

Kaptein (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Bonmati (25'), Pajor (41'), Pina (43'), Paralluelo (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Champions League clash between Chelsea Women and Barcelona Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 4-0 Crystal Palace
Wednesday, April 23 at 7.15pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Barcelona 4-1 Chelsea
Sunday, April 20 at 5pm in Women's Champions League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Arsenal542.84Russo
2Chelsea532.79Beever-Jones
3Man City412.16Shaw
4Man Utd361.89Terland
5Brighton271.42Kirby
6West Ham251.32Asseyi
7Spurs231.21England
8Aston Villa211.11Daly
9Liverpool201.05Smith
10Everton191.00Gago
11Crystal Palace150.79Blanchard
12Leicester150.79Cayman

We said: Chelsea Women 2-2 Barcelona Women

Chelsea have not lost any of their 20 competitive home games under Bompastor, and while we think that they will maintain that record, we believe that they will be held to a draw by a Barcelona side that are usually a tough team to stop in the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.81%) and 0-2 (5.27%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawBarcelona Women
31.63% (2.17 2.17) 21.38% (-0.267 -0.27) 46.99% (-1.893 -1.89)
Both teams to score 69.84% (2.448 2.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.7% (2.631 2.63)29.3% (-2.622 -2.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.66% (3.138 3.14)50.34% (-3.128 -3.13)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.52% (2.504 2.5)19.48% (-2.493 -2.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.66% (3.934 3.93)51.34% (-3.925 -3.93)
Barcelona Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.73% (0.36399999999999 0.36)13.27% (-0.355 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.93% (0.721 0.72)40.07% (-0.71 -0.71)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 31.63%
    Barcelona Women 46.99%
    Draw 21.38%
Chelsea WomenDrawBarcelona Women
2-1 @ 6.99% (0.133 0.13)
1-0 @ 4.23% (-0.308 -0.31)
3-2 @ 3.85% (0.396 0.4)
3-1 @ 3.81% (0.348 0.35)
2-0 @ 3.46% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.89% (0.15 0.15)
4-2 @ 1.57% (0.266 0.27)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.247 0.25)
4-3 @ 1.06% (0.191 0.19)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 31.63%
1-1 @ 8.54% (-0.503 -0.5)
2-2 @ 7.05% (0.225 0.23)
3-3 @ 2.59% (0.298 0.3)
0-0 @ 2.58% (-0.409 -0.41)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.38%
1-2 @ 8.62% (-0.388 -0.39)
1-3 @ 5.81% (-0.182 -0.18)
0-2 @ 5.27% (-0.676 -0.68)
0-1 @ 5.22% (-0.746 -0.75)
2-3 @ 4.75% (0.212 0.21)
0-3 @ 3.55% (-0.402 -0.4)
1-4 @ 2.93% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-4 @ 2.4% (0.137 0.14)
0-4 @ 1.79% (-0.177 -0.18)
3-4 @ 1.31% (0.166 0.17)
1-5 @ 1.18% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-5 @ 0.97% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 46.99%

How you voted: Chelsea vs Barcelona

Chelsea Women
31.3%
Draw
12.5%
Barcelona Women
56.3%
16
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2025 5pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Barcelona
4-1
Chelsea
Pajor (35'), Pina (70', 90'), Paredes (82')
Pina (77')
Baltimore (74')
Ramirez (41'), Macario (72')
Apr 27, 2024 5.30pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Chelsea
0-2
Barcelona

Buchanan (54'), Charles (87')
Buchanan (59')
Bonmati (25'), Rolfo (75' pen.)
Apr 20, 2024 12.30pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Barcelona
0-1
Chelsea

Guijarro (79'), Paredes (83')
Cuthbert (40')
Apr 27, 2023 5.45pm
Apr 22, 2023 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool37258485404583
2Arsenal371914467333471
3Manchester CityMan City37208970442668
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle372061168462266
5Chelsea37199963432066
6Aston Villa3719995849966
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest371981058451365
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton37151396258458
9Brentford37167146556955
10Fulham37159135452254
11Bournemouth3714111256461053
12Crystal Palace371313115050052
13Everton371015124144-345
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37125205368-1541
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham371010174361-1840
16Manchester UnitedMan Utd37109184254-1239
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs37115216361238
RLeicester CityLeicester3767243378-4525
RIpswich TownIpswich37410233579-4422
RSouthampton3726292584-5912


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