MX23RW : Monday, April 28 18:28:16| >> :600:205317:205317:
Women's Champions League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 27, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stamford Bridge

Chelsea
1 - 4
Barcelona

Kaptein (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Bonmati (25'), Pajor (41'), Pina (43'), Paralluelo (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Champions League clash between Chelsea Women and Barcelona Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 4-0 Crystal Palace
Wednesday, April 23 at 7.15pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Barcelona 4-1 Chelsea
Sunday, April 20 at 5pm in Women's Champions League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Arsenal542.84Russo
2Chelsea532.79Beever-Jones
3Man City412.16Shaw
4Man Utd361.89Terland
5Brighton271.42Kirby
6West Ham251.32Asseyi
7Spurs231.21England
8Aston Villa211.11Daly
9Liverpool201.05Smith
10Everton191.00Gago
11Crystal Palace150.79Blanchard
12Leicester150.79Cayman

We said: Chelsea Women 2-2 Barcelona Women

Chelsea have not lost any of their 20 competitive home games under Bompastor, and while we think that they will maintain that record, we believe that they will be held to a draw by a Barcelona side that are usually a tough team to stop in the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.81%) and 0-2 (5.27%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawBarcelona Women
31.63% (2.17 2.17) 21.38% (-0.267 -0.27) 46.99% (-1.893 -1.89)
Both teams to score 69.84% (2.448 2.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.7% (2.631 2.63)29.3% (-2.622 -2.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.66% (3.138 3.14)50.34% (-3.128 -3.13)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.52% (2.504 2.5)19.48% (-2.493 -2.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.66% (3.934 3.93)51.34% (-3.925 -3.93)
Barcelona Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.73% (0.36399999999999 0.36)13.27% (-0.355 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.93% (0.721 0.72)40.07% (-0.71 -0.71)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 31.63%
    Barcelona Women 46.99%
    Draw 21.38%
Chelsea WomenDrawBarcelona Women
2-1 @ 6.99% (0.133 0.13)
1-0 @ 4.23% (-0.308 -0.31)
3-2 @ 3.85% (0.396 0.4)
3-1 @ 3.81% (0.348 0.35)
2-0 @ 3.46% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.89% (0.15 0.15)
4-2 @ 1.57% (0.266 0.27)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.247 0.25)
4-3 @ 1.06% (0.191 0.19)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 31.63%
1-1 @ 8.54% (-0.503 -0.5)
2-2 @ 7.05% (0.225 0.23)
3-3 @ 2.59% (0.298 0.3)
0-0 @ 2.58% (-0.409 -0.41)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.38%
1-2 @ 8.62% (-0.388 -0.39)
1-3 @ 5.81% (-0.182 -0.18)
0-2 @ 5.27% (-0.676 -0.68)
0-1 @ 5.22% (-0.746 -0.75)
2-3 @ 4.75% (0.212 0.21)
0-3 @ 3.55% (-0.402 -0.4)
1-4 @ 2.93% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-4 @ 2.4% (0.137 0.14)
0-4 @ 1.79% (-0.177 -0.18)
3-4 @ 1.31% (0.166 0.17)
1-5 @ 1.18% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-5 @ 0.97% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 46.99%

How you voted: Chelsea vs Barcelona

Chelsea Women
31.3%
Draw
12.5%
Barcelona Women
56.3%
16
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2025 5pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Barcelona
4-1
Chelsea
Pajor (35'), Pina (70', 90'), Paredes (82')
Pina (77')
Baltimore (74')
Ramirez (41'), Macario (72')
Apr 27, 2024 5.30pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Chelsea
0-2
Barcelona

Buchanan (54'), Charles (87')
Buchanan (59')
Bonmati (25'), Rolfo (75' pen.)
Apr 20, 2024 12.30pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Barcelona
0-1
Chelsea

Guijarro (79'), Paredes (83')
Cuthbert (40')
Apr 27, 2023 5.45pm
Apr 22, 2023 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool34257280324882
2Arsenal341813363293467
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341951065442162
4Manchester CityMan City34187966432361
5Chelsea34179859401960
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest33186953391460
7Aston Villa3416995449557
8Fulham34149115046451
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton34131295655151
10Bournemouth3413111053411250
11Brentford33137135650646
12Crystal Palace341112114347-445
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34125175161-1041
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd34109153947-839
15Everton34814123441-738
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs34114196256637
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3499163958-1936
18Ipswich TownIpswich3449213374-4121
19Leicester CityLeicester3446242776-4918
20Southampton3425272580-5511


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