Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Auckland FC win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Melbourne Victory has a probability of 32.11% and a draw has a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auckland FC win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win is 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.65%).
Result | ||
Auckland FC | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
44.38% (![]() | 23.51% (![]() | 32.11% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.98% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.34% (![]() | 39.66% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.99% (![]() | 62.01% (![]() |
Auckland FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.78% (![]() | 18.21% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.77% (![]() | 49.23% (![]() |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.78% (![]() | 24.21% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.44% (![]() | 58.55% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Auckland FC | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
2-1 @ 9.07% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.51% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.4% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.15% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.65% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.63% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.19% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.56% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.55% ( ![]() Other @ 3.68% Total : 44.38% | 1-1 @ 10.65% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.43% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.41% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.73% ( ![]() Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.51% | 1-2 @ 7.55% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.25% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.44% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.57% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.27% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 2.82% Total : 32.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 53 |
2 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 48 |
3 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 47 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 58 | 40 | 18 | 46 |
5 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 43 |
6 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 38 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 37 |
8 | Macarthur | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 33 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 26 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 24 |
12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 21 |
13 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 22 | 56 | -34 | 17 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |