MX23RW : Saturday, May 24 08:34:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Australian A-League | 2nd Leg
May 24, 2025 at 7am UK
Mount Smart Stadium
Melbourne Victory

Auckland FC
0 - 2
Victory


Gallegos (41'), Paulsen (44'), Pijnaker (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Machach (55'), Fornaroli (60')
Arzani (20'), Valadon (46'), Fornaroli (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Auckland FC and Melbourne Victory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Victory 0-1 Auckland FC
Saturday, May 17 at 10.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 0-1 Auckland FC
Saturday, May 17 at 10.35am in Australian A-League

We said: Auckland FC 1-1 Melbourne Victory

Auckland may only have a slim lead, but their resilience at home is hard to ignore, and they are unlikely to lose on their own turf this weekend. That being said, expect Victory to put up a strong fight, especially considering that they have won three on the bounce away from home ahead of the second leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Auckland FC win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Melbourne Victory has a probability of 32.11% and a draw has a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auckland FC win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win is 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.65%).

Result
Auckland FCDrawMelbourne Victory
44.38% (-1.255 -1.26) 23.51% (0.324 0.32) 32.11% (0.931 0.93)
Both teams to score 61.98% (-0.714 -0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.34% (-1.137 -1.14)39.66% (1.136 1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.99% (-1.192 -1.19)62.01% (1.192 1.19)
Auckland FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.78% (-0.94999999999999 -0.95)18.21% (0.95 0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.77% (-1.643 -1.64)49.23% (1.642 1.64)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)24.21% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.44% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)58.55% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Auckland FC 44.38%
    Melbourne Victory 32.11%
    Draw 23.51%
Auckland FCDrawMelbourne Victory
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-0 @ 7.51% (0.166 0.17)
2-0 @ 6.4% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.15% (-0.207 -0.21)
3-2 @ 3.65% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.146 -0.15)
4-1 @ 2.19% (-0.16 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.113 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 44.38%
1-1 @ 10.65% (0.24 0.24)
2-2 @ 6.43% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.41% (0.229 0.23)
3-3 @ 1.73% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.51%
1-2 @ 7.55% (0.169 0.17)
0-1 @ 6.25% (0.326 0.33)
0-2 @ 4.44% (0.232 0.23)
1-3 @ 3.57% (0.081 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.11 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.029 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 32.11%

How you voted: Auckland FC vs Victory

Auckland FC
33.3%
Draw
50.0%
Melbourne Victory
16.7%
6
Head to Head
May 17, 2025 10.35am
Victory
0-1
Auckland FC

Jackson (85')
Rogerson (64')
Francois (60')
Apr 19, 2025 8am
Gameweek 27
Victory
0-2
Auckland FC
Verstraete (53'), May (89')
Elliot (59'), Sakai (79'), Francois (90+5')
Jan 1, 2025 4am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Auckland FC26158349272253
2Melbourne CityMelbourne City26146641251648
3Western UnitedWestern Utd26145755371847
4Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney26137658401846
5Melbourne VictoryVictory2612774436843
6Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United2610885355-238
7Sydney FCSydney FC2610795346737
8Macarthur2696115045533
9Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets2686124344-130
10Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast26511102951-2226
11Wellington PhoenixWellington2666142743-1624
12Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar2656153251-1921
13Perth GloryPerth Glory2645172256-3417


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!