Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Auckland FC had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Auckland FC win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.