

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 37.9% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.11%) and 2-3 (4.98%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Western United |
| 37.9% ( | 20.7% ( | 41.4% ( |
| Both teams to score 74.65% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.09% ( | 23.91% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 56.52% ( | 43.48% ( |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.79% ( | 14.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.06% ( | 41.94% ( |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.02% ( | 12.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.52% ( | 39.48% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Western United |
| 2-1 @ 7.17% ( 3-2 @ 4.76% ( 3-1 @ 4.66% ( 1-0 @ 3.6% ( 2-0 @ 3.51% ( 4-2 @ 2.32% ( 3-0 @ 2.28% ( 4-1 @ 2.27% ( 4-3 @ 1.58% ( 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 5-2 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 3.72% Total : 37.9% | 1-1 @ 7.35% ( 2-2 @ 7.32% ( 3-3 @ 3.24% ( 0-0 @ 1.84% ( Other @ 0.95% Total : 20.7% | 1-2 @ 7.5% ( 1-3 @ 5.11% ( 2-3 @ 4.98% ( 0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0-1 @ 3.77% ( 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 1-4 @ 2.61% ( 2-4 @ 2.54% ( 3-4 @ 1.65% ( 0-4 @ 1.34% ( 1-5 @ 1.06% ( 2-5 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 3.34% Total : 41.4% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Auckland FC | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 53 |
| 2 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 48 |
| 3 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 47 |
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 58 | 40 | 18 | 46 |
| 5 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 43 |
| 6 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 38 |
| 7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 37 |
| 8 | Macarthur | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 33 |
| 9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 30 |
| 10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 26 |
| 11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 24 |
| 12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 21 |
| 13 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 22 | 56 | -34 | 17 |
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