Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 50.89%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
26.1% (![]() | 23% (![]() | 50.89% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.49% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.91% (![]() | 41.09% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.51% (![]() | 63.48% (![]() |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.06% (![]() | 28.94% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.17% (![]() | 64.83% (![]() |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.72% (![]() | 16.28% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.17% (![]() | 45.83% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
2-1 @ 6.57% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.84% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.62% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.47% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.5% ( ![]() Other @ 3.39% Total : 26.1% | 1-1 @ 10.6% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.97% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.71% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.49% ( ![]() Other @ 0.23% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 9.63% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.55% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.76% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.83% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.7% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.61% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.64% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.64% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 3.44% Total : 50.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 47 |
2 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 43 |
3 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 41 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 52 | 37 | 15 | 39 |
5 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 39 |
6 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 36 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 34 |
8 | Macarthur | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 29 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 25 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 24 |
12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 28 | 49 | -21 | 14 |
13 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 55 | -35 | 14 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |