Angers
Angers
AJ Auxerre
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Brest logo
Le Havre
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lens logo
Lille
Lille
Lyon
Lyon
Marseille
Marseille
Monaco
Monaco
Montpellier
Montpellier
Nantes
Nantes
Nice
Nice
PSG logo
PSG logo
Reims
Reims
Rennes
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
May 10, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stade Louis II.
Lyon

Monaco
2 - 0
Lyon

Minamino (62'), Zakaria (68')
Camara (59'), Diatta (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mata (9'), Fonseca (42'), Almada (45+2'), Niakhate (90+2'), Tagliafico (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Etienne 1-3 Monaco
Saturday, May 3 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 1-2 Lens
Sunday, May 4 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.38%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
MonacoDrawLyon
45.57% (0.0049999999999955 0)22.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)31.95% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 65.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.34% (-0.012 -0.01)34.66% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.39% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)56.61% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)15.79% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)44.93% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.1% (-0.012 -0.01)21.9% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.84% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)55.16% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 45.57%
    Lyon 31.95%
    Draw 22.48%
MonacoDrawLyon
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 6.38% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 5.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.51%
3-2 @ 4.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
5-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 45.57%
1-1 @ 9.69% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 6.79% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 2.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.48%
1-2 @ 7.36%
0-1 @ 5.25% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 3.99%
1-3 @ 3.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 3.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 31.95%

How you voted: Monaco vs Lyon

Monaco
48.6%
Draw
40.0%
Lyon
11.4%
35
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 2
Lyon
0-2
Monaco

Tolisso (90'), Mata (90+6')
Ben Seghir (65'), Camara (80')
Salisu (44'), Camara (90+4')
Camara (90+7')
Apr 28, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 31
Lyon
3-2
Monaco
Lacazette (22'), Benrahma (26'), Fofana (84')
Benrahma (38')
Ben Yedder (1', 60')
Minamino (25'), Ouattara (47'), Diatta (69')
Dec 15, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 16
Monaco
0-1
Lyon

Singo (29')
Jeffinho (85')
Mata (31'), Henrique (90+5')
May 19, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 36
Lyon
3-1
Monaco
Lacazette (38'), Caqueret (57'), Cherki (78')
Ben Yedder (2' pen.)
Golovin (31'), Jakobs (55'), Vanderson (63')
Sep 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Monaco
2-1
Lyon
Badiashile (55'), Maripan (63')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616


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