Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33

May 10, 2025 at 8pm UK

Stade Louis II.

Monaco
2 - 0
Lyon

Minamino (62'), Zakaria (68')
Camara (59'), Diatta (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mata (9'), Fonseca (42'), Almada (45+2'), Niakhate (90+2'), Tagliafico (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions

Last Game: St Etienne 1-3 Monaco
Saturday, May 3 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Lyon

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lyon 1-2 Lens
Sunday, May 4 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.38%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
Monaco	Draw	Lyon
45.57% ( 0)	22.48% ( 0)	31.95% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 65.77% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.34% (

-0.01)

34.66% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.39% (

-0.01)

56.61% (

0.01)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.21% (

-0)

15.79% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.07% (

-0.01)

44.93% (

0.01)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.1% (

-0.01)

21.9% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.84% (

-0.02)

55.16% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Monaco 45.57%

Lyon 31.95%

Draw 22.48%

Monaco	Draw	Lyon
2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.38% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.89% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.51% 3-2 @ 4.18% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.99% Total : 45.57%	1-1 @ 9.69% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.79% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.46% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.12% ( -0) Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.48%	1-2 @ 7.36% 0-1 @ 5.25% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.99% 1-3 @ 3.73% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.44% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 3.45% Total : 31.95%