Angers
Angers
AJ Auxerre
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Brest logo
Le Havre
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lens logo
Lille
Lille
Lyon
Lyon
Marseille
Marseille
Monaco
Monaco
Montpellier
Montpellier
Nantes
Nantes
Nice
Nice
PSG logo
PSG logo
Reims
Reims
Rennes
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Saint-Etienne
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32
May 3, 2025 at 8.05pm UK
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Monaco

St Etienne
1 - 3
Monaco

FT(HT: 0-1)
Akliouche (2'), Elmusrati (68'), Balogun (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Saint-Etienne and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Strasbourg 3-1 St Etienne
Saturday, April 26 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 1-1 Monaco
Saturday, April 26 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 62.71%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 18.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.07%) and 1-3 (7.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.25%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 2-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
Saint-EtienneDrawMonaco
18.27% (0.66 0.66)19.01% (0.225 0.23)62.71% (-0.883 -0.88)
Both teams to score 62.65% (0.535 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.06% (0.094999999999999 0.09)31.94% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.5% (0.111 0.11)53.49% (-0.11 -0.11)
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.48% (0.736 0.74)30.52% (-0.734 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.26% (0.867 0.87)66.74% (-0.86499999999999 -0.86)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.18% (-0.184 -0.18)9.82% (0.185 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.39% (-0.425 -0.42)32.6% (0.42599999999999 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Saint-Etienne 18.27%
    Monaco 62.71%
    Draw 19.01%
Saint-EtienneDrawMonaco
2-1 @ 4.9% (0.132 0.13)
1-0 @ 3.56% (0.054 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.087 0.09)
2-0 @ 2.11% (0.074 0.07)
3-1 @ 1.94% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 18.27%
1-1 @ 8.25% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.68% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 3% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.74% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 19.01%
1-2 @ 9.58% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.07% (-0.173 -0.17)
1-3 @ 7.41% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-1 @ 6.95% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
0-3 @ 6.24% (-0.185 -0.19)
2-3 @ 4.4% (0.049 0.05)
1-4 @ 4.3% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-4 @ 3.62% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-4 @ 2.55% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-5 @ 2% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-5 @ 1.68% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-5 @ 1.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-4 @ 1.01% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 62.71%

How you voted: St Etienne vs Monaco

Saint-Etienne
18.5%
Draw
18.5%
Monaco
63.0%
27
Head to Head
Aug 17, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 1
Monaco
1-0
St Etienne
Minamino (29')
Embolo (90+5')

Nzuzi (67')
Apr 23, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 34
St Etienne
1-4
Monaco
Khazri (42' pen.)
Khazri (43'), Mangala (72')
Ben Yedder (23'), Volland (25'), Kolodziejczak (61' og.), Boadu (77')
Martins (21'), Tchouameni (40'), Sidibe (65')
Sep 22, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 7
Monaco
3-1
St Etienne
Volland (27'), Ben Yedder (62' pen., 86')
Sidibe (23')
Bouanga (41')
Kolodziejczak (60')
Green (33')
Mar 19, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 30
St Etienne
0-4
Monaco

Modeste (90+1')
Jovetic (13'), Tchouameni (55'), Diop (64'), Diatta (76')
Jovetic (38'), Badiashile (44')
Dec 23, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 17
Monaco
2-2
St Etienne
Diop (7'), Volland (48')
Maripan (28'), Aguilar (40'), Volland (71')
Matazo (35')
Debuchy (21'), Bouanga (29' pen.)
Gourna-Douath (44'), Camara (81')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616


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