Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 62.71%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 18.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.07%) and 1-3 (7.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.25%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 2-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Monaco |
| 18.27% ( | 19.01% ( | 62.71% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.65% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.06% ( | 31.94% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.5% ( | 53.49% ( |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.48% ( | 30.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.26% ( | 66.74% ( |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.18% ( | 9.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 67.39% ( | 32.6% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Monaco |
| 2-1 @ 4.9% ( 1-0 @ 3.56% ( 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 2-0 @ 2.11% ( 3-1 @ 1.94% ( Other @ 3.53% Total : 18.27% | 1-1 @ 8.25% ( 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0-0 @ 3% ( 3-3 @ 1.74% ( Other @ 0.34% Total : 19.01% | 1-2 @ 9.58% ( 0-2 @ 8.07% ( 1-3 @ 7.41% ( 0-1 @ 6.95% ( 0-3 @ 6.24% ( 2-3 @ 4.4% ( 1-4 @ 4.3% ( 0-4 @ 3.62% ( 2-4 @ 2.55% ( 1-5 @ 2% ( 0-5 @ 1.68% ( 2-5 @ 1.19% ( 3-4 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 3.71% Total : 62.71% |

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 35 | 57 | 84 |
| 2 | Marseille | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74 | 47 | 27 | 65 |
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 61 |
| 4 | Nice | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66 | 41 | 25 | 60 |
| 5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 60 |
| 6 | Lyon | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 57 |
| 7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 57 |
| 8 | Lens | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 52 |
| 9 | Brest | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 50 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | Auxerre | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 42 |
| 12 | Rennes | 34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 41 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | Angers | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 36 |
| 15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40 | 71 | -31 | 34 |
| 16 | Reims | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 33 |
| R | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39 | 77 | -38 | 30 |
| R | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23 | 79 | -56 | 16 |
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