MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 16:16:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Saint-Etienne
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27
Mar 29, 2025 at 6pm UK
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
PSG logo

St Etienne
1 - 6
PSG

Stassin (9')
Bouchouari (26'), Macon (68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ramos (43' pen.), Kvaratskhelia (50'), Doue (53', 66'), Neves (62'), Mbaye (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Saint-Etienne and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Le Havre 1-1 St Etienne
Sunday, March 9 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 3-1 Marseille
Sunday, March 16 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Saint-Etienne 0-4 Paris Saint-Germain

Even with some rotation, this should be a stroll for the league leaders, who have swept aside all who have come before them in 2025, and they will be keeping an eye on other results to see whether they are crowned champions this weekend. Saint-Etienne will put up a fight, but manager Horneland may already be looking ahead to next week's clash with Lens, which will offer a much greater chance of some much-needed points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 79.09%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 8.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.36%) and 1-2 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.69%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 2-1 (2.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Saint-EtienneDrawParis Saint-Germain
8.13% (-0.13 -0.13) 12.77% (-0.083 -0.08) 79.09% (0.20999999999999 0.21)
Both teams to score 55.08% (-0.29499999999999 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.19% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)26.81% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.75% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)47.25% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.17% (-0.326 -0.33)41.82% (0.324 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.71% (-0.287 -0.29)78.28% (0.28400000000001 0.28)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.67% (0.021999999999991 0.02)5.32% (-0.0249 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.06% (0.072000000000003 0.07)20.93% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Saint-Etienne 8.13%
    Paris Saint-Germain 79.09%
    Draw 12.77%
Saint-EtienneDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 2.48% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-0 @ 1.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.06% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 8.13%
1-1 @ 5.69% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.64% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-0 @ 2.23% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 12.77%
0-2 @ 9.58% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
0-3 @ 9.36% (0.073 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.35% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
1-3 @ 8.16% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-4 @ 6.87% (0.065 0.06)
0-1 @ 6.53% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 5.99% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-5 @ 4.03% (0.044999999999999 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.56% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-5 @ 3.51% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.61% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-6 @ 1.97% (0.025 0.03)
1-6 @ 1.72% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-5 @ 1.53% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 5.34%
Total : 79.09%

How you voted: St Etienne vs PSG

Saint-Etienne
18.0%
Draw
4.0%
Paris Saint-Germain
78.0%
50
Head to Head
Jan 12, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
PSG
2-1
St Etienne
Dembele (13', 23' pen.)
Beraldo (62')
Davitashvili (64')
Mouton (58'), Bouchouari (75')
Feb 26, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 26
PSG
3-1
St Etienne
Mbappe (42', 47'), Pereira (52')
Gueye (56'), Marquinhos (90')
Bouanga (16')
Mangala (9')
Nov 28, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 15
St Etienne
1-3
PSG
Bouanga (23')
Sissoko (18'), Boudebouz (32'), Camara (35')
Kolodziejczak (45')
Marquinhos (45+1', 90+1'), Di Maria (79')
Bernat (33')
Apr 18, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 33
PSG
3-2
St Etienne
Mbappe (79', 87' pen.), Icardi (90+4')
Kimpembe (85')
Bouanga (78'), Hamouma (90+1')
Neyou (57')
Jan 6, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 18
St Etienne
1-1
PSG
Hamouma (19')
Retsos (77')
Kean (22')
Draxler (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG31246184315378
2Marseille31184966432358
3Lille31168749321756
4MonacoMonaco31167858362255
5Lyon31166962422054
6Nice31159759392054
7StrasbourgStrasbourg31159751381354
8Lens31136123537-245
9Brest31135134953-444
10Auxerre31118124545041
11Rennes31122174644238
12Toulouse3198143839-135
13Reims3189143242-1033
14NantesNantes31711133550-1532
15Angers3186172950-2130
16Le HavreLe Havre3184193465-3128
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne3176183471-3727
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier3144232271-4916


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