Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Saint-Etienne
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27
Mar 29, 2025 at 6pm UK
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
PSG logo

St Etienne
1 - 6
PSG

Stassin (9')
Bouchouari (26'), Macon (68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ramos (43' pen.), Kvaratskhelia (50'), Doue (53', 66'), Neves (62'), Mbaye (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Saint-Etienne and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Le Havre 1-1 St Etienne
Sunday, March 9 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 79.09%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 8.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.36%) and 1-2 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.69%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 2-1 (2.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Saint-EtienneDrawParis Saint-Germain
8.13% (-0.13 -0.13)12.77% (-0.083 -0.08)79.09% (0.20999999999999 0.21)
Both teams to score 55.08% (-0.29499999999999 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.19% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)26.81% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.75% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)47.25% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.17% (-0.326 -0.33)41.82% (0.324 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.71% (-0.287 -0.29)78.28% (0.28400000000001 0.28)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.67% (0.021999999999991 0.02)5.32% (-0.0249 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.06% (0.072000000000003 0.07)20.93% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Saint-Etienne 8.13%
    Paris Saint-Germain 79.09%
    Draw 12.77%
Saint-EtienneDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 2.48% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-0 @ 1.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.06% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 8.13%
1-1 @ 5.69% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.64% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-0 @ 2.23% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 12.77%
0-2 @ 9.58% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
0-3 @ 9.36% (0.073 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.35% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
1-3 @ 8.16% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-4 @ 6.87% (0.065 0.06)
0-1 @ 6.53% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 5.99% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-5 @ 4.03% (0.044999999999999 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.56% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-5 @ 3.51% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.61% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-6 @ 1.97% (0.025 0.03)
1-6 @ 1.72% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-5 @ 1.53% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 5.34%
Total : 79.09%

How you voted: St Etienne vs PSG

Saint-Etienne
18.0%
Draw
4.0%
Paris Saint-Germain
78.0%
50
Head to Head
Jan 12, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
PSG
2-1
St Etienne
Dembele (13', 23' pen.)
Beraldo (62')
Davitashvili (64')
Mouton (58'), Bouchouari (75')
Feb 26, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 26
PSG
3-1
St Etienne
Mbappe (42', 47'), Pereira (52')
Gueye (56'), Marquinhos (90')
Bouanga (16')
Mangala (9')
Nov 28, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 15
St Etienne
1-3
PSG
Bouanga (23')
Sissoko (18'), Boudebouz (32'), Camara (35')
Kolodziejczak (45')
Marquinhos (45+1', 90+1'), Di Maria (79')
Bernat (33')
Apr 18, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 33
PSG
3-2
St Etienne
Mbappe (79', 87' pen.), Icardi (90+4')
Kimpembe (85')
Bouanga (78'), Hamouma (90+1')
Neyou (57')
Jan 6, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 18
St Etienne
1-1
PSG
Hamouma (19')
Retsos (77')
Kean (22')
Draxler (83')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616


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