Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 63.92%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Rennes had a probability of 16.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 0-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Rennes win it was 2-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 16.53% ( | 19.55% ( | 63.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.73% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.13% ( | 37.87% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.87% ( | 60.13% ( |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.91% ( | 36.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.13% ( | 72.87% ( |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.77% ( | 11.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.21% ( | 35.79% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rennes | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 4.6% ( 1-0 @ 4.13% ( 2-0 @ 2.11% ( 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 3-1 @ 1.56% ( Other @ 2.42% Total : 16.53% | 1-1 @ 9.03% ( 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0-0 @ 4.05% ( 3-3 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 19.55% | 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0-2 @ 9.69% ( 0-1 @ 8.86% ( 1-3 @ 7.2% ( 0-3 @ 7.06% ( 1-4 @ 3.93% ( 0-4 @ 3.86% ( 2-3 @ 3.67% ( 2-4 @ 2.01% ( 1-5 @ 1.72% ( 0-5 @ 1.69% ( Other @ 4.36% Total : 63.92% |