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Coupe de France | Quarter-Finals
Feb 26, 2025 at 8.10pm UK
Stade Fred Aubert
PSG logo

Stade Briochin
0 - 7
PSG

FT(HT: 0-2)
Neves (16'), Ramos (36', 49' pen., 58'), Doue (55'), Mayulu (66'), Dembele (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coupe de France clash between Stade Briochin and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Stade Briochin 2-1 Nice
Wednesday, February 5 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Lyon 2-3 PSG
Sunday, February 23 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Stade Briochin 0-3 Paris Saint-Germain

Anything short of a dominant PSG victory will be a shock here, but Briochin have eliminated two Ligue 1 sides from the competition already, so they will not feel hopeless. The visitors, who are expected to rotate, should still have too much quality for a side that are three divisions away from the highest level. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 86.17%. A draw had a probability of 10.3% and a win for Stade Briochin had a probability of 3.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (14.53%) and 0-1 (11.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.73%), while for a Stade Briochin win it was 1-0 (1.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Stade BriochinDrawParis Saint-Germain
3.52% (-0.1101 -0.11) 10.32% (-0.156 -0.16) 86.17% (0.265 0.27)
Both teams to score 32.55% (-0.383 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.55% (0.129 0.13)37.45% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.33% (0.14 0.14)59.67% (-0.14 -0.14)
Stade Briochin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
34.65% (-0.44 -0.44)65.34% (0.43899999999999 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.85% (-0.189 -0.19)93.15% (0.188 0.19)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.92% (0.081000000000003 0.08)6.08% (-0.0819 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.9% (0.223 0.22)23.09% (-0.224 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Stade Briochin 3.52%
    Paris Saint-Germain 86.15%
    Draw 10.32%
Stade BriochinDrawParis Saint-Germain
1-0 @ 1.69% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-1 @ 1.01% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 3.52%
1-1 @ 4.73% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-0 @ 3.97% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-2 @ 1.41% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 10.32%
0-2 @ 15.57% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-3 @ 14.53% (0.11 0.11)
0-1 @ 11.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-4 @ 10.18% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 6.63% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-3 @ 6.19% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-5 @ 5.7% (0.096 0.1)
1-4 @ 4.33% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-6 @ 2.66% (0.057 0.06)
1-5 @ 2.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-6 @ 1.13% (0.006 0.01)
0-7 @ 1.07% (0.028 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 86.15%

How you voted: Stade Briochin vs PSG

Stade Briochin
12.9%
Draw
6.5%
Paris Saint-Germain
80.6%
31
rhs 2.0
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