Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Feb 15, 2025 at 8.05pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Toulouse0 - 1PSG
We said: Toulouse 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain
PSG are taking Ligue 1 by storm, and no club has been able to get the better of them since Toulouse did in May, but this will be a big ask for a club currently out of form. After such a big win over Brest on Tuesday, PSG boss Enrique can afford to put more weight on this fixture to extend their unbeaten run, and potentially their lead at the summit. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 14.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.06%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-0 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
14.86% ( -0.02) | 20.18% ( -0.01) | 64.97% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.52% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
