Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 84.63%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 5.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 4-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.58%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-2 (1.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 84.63% ( | 10.07% ( | 5.3% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.14% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.39% ( | 24.61% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.59% ( | 44.41% ( |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.95% ( | 4.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 82.96% ( | 17.03% ( |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.26% ( | 47.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 16.96% ( | 83.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 3-0 @ 10.62% ( 2-0 @ 9.94% ( 4-0 @ 8.52% ( 3-1 @ 7.86% ( 2-1 @ 7.35% ( 4-1 @ 6.3% ( 1-0 @ 6.2% ( 5-0 @ 5.46% ( 5-1 @ 4.04% ( 6-0 @ 2.92% ( 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 4-2 @ 2.33% ( 6-1 @ 2.16% ( 5-2 @ 1.49% ( 7-0 @ 1.34% ( 7-1 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 4.22% Total : 84.62% | 1-1 @ 4.58% ( 2-2 @ 2.72% ( 0-0 @ 1.93% ( Other @ 0.83% Total : 10.07% | 1-2 @ 1.7% ( 0-1 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 2.18% Total : 5.3% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 35 | 57 | 84 |
| 2 | Marseille | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74 | 47 | 27 | 65 |
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 61 |
| 4 | Nice | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66 | 41 | 25 | 60 |
| 5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 60 |
| 6 | Lyon | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 57 |
| 7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 57 |
| 8 | Lens | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 52 |
| 9 | Brest | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 50 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | Auxerre | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 42 |
| 12 | Rennes | 34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 41 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | Angers | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 36 |
| 15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40 | 71 | -31 | 34 |
| 16 | Reims | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 33 |
| R | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39 | 77 | -38 | 30 |
| R | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23 | 79 | -56 | 16 |
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