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Ligue 1

Saint-Etienne
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Dec 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Marseille

St Etienne
0 - 2
Marseille


Sissoko (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rabiot (17'), Greenwood (65')
Rongier (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Saint-Etienne and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint-Etienne

All competitions
Last Game: Rennes 5-0 St Etienne
Saturday, November 30 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Marseille

All competitions
Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Monaco
Sunday, December 1 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Saint-EtienneDrawMarseille
26.64% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)25.59% (0.134 0.13)47.77% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 51.49% (-0.469 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.13% (-0.584 -0.58)51.86% (0.584 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.38% (-0.506 -0.51)73.62% (0.50700000000001 0.51)
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.77% (-0.373 -0.37)34.22% (0.372 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.07% (-0.403 -0.4)70.92% (0.402 0.4)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.28% (-0.26700000000001 -0.27)21.72% (0.267 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.12% (-0.407 -0.41)54.88% (0.408 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Saint-Etienne 26.64%
    Marseille 47.77%
    Draw 25.59%
Saint-EtienneDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 7.97% (0.104 0.1)
2-1 @ 6.52% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.27% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.33% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.53% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 26.64%
1-1 @ 12.17% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 7.43% (0.171 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 11.35% (0.18 0.18)
1-2 @ 9.29% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.67% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.73% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 4.41% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.81% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 47.77%

How you voted: St Etienne vs Marseille

Saint-Etienne
4.2%
Draw
15.3%
Marseille
80.6%
72
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 30
St Etienne
2-4
Marseille
Bouanga (9'), Gourna-Douath (86')
Mangala (45+1'), Thioub (77')
Payet (45+1' pen.), Kolodziejczak (60' og.), Dieng (68' pen.), Harit (73')
Targhalline (88')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 4
Marseille
3-1
St Etienne
Guendouzi (23'), Gerson (51'), Under (68')
Gueye (87')
Kolodziejczak (32')
Khazri (42'), Macon (49'), Camara (61')
> Preview
May 9, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 36
St Etienne
1-0
Marseille
Nordin (43')
Kolodziejczak (76')

Thauvin (63'), Balerdi (67'), Gonzalez (85')
> Preview
Sep 17, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 1
Marseille
0-2
St Etienne

Sakai (30'), Sanson (45+1')
Hamouma (6'), Bouanga (75')
Macon (21'), Gourna-Douath (85')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2020 8.15pm
Gameweek 23
St Etienne
0-2
Marseille

Fofana (61'), Khazri (65')
Payet (7'), Radonjic (85')
Amavi (25'), Radonjic (49'), Rongier (57'), Ali Mohamed (65')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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