Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Marseille |
26.64% (![]() | 25.59% (![]() | 47.77% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.49% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.13% (![]() | 51.86% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.38% (![]() | 73.62% (![]() |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.77% (![]() | 34.22% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.07% (![]() | 70.92% (![]() |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.28% (![]() | 21.72% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.12% (![]() | 54.88% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 7.97% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.52% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.27% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.78% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.53% ( ![]() Other @ 2.23% Total : 26.64% | 1-1 @ 12.17% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.43% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.98% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 11.35% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.29% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.67% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.73% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.41% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.54% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.81% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.68% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.33% Total : 47.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 84 | 31 | 53 | 78 |
2 | Marseille | 31 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 66 | 43 | 23 | 58 |
3 | Lille | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 56 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 58 | 36 | 22 | 55 |
5 | Lyon | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 54 |
6 | Nice | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 54 |
7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 54 |
8 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 45 |
9 | Brest | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 44 |
10 | Auxerre | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
11 | Rennes | 31 | 12 | 2 | 17 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Toulouse | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 35 |
13 | Reims | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 33 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 32 |
15 | Angers | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 30 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 34 | 65 | -31 | 28 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 71 | -37 | 27 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 71 | -49 | 16 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |