Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 45.81% ( | 24.58% ( | 29.6% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.83% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.15% ( | 45.84% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.84% ( | 68.16% ( |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.89% ( | 20.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.64% ( | 52.36% ( |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.13% ( | 28.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.26% ( | 64.74% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 1-0 @ 9.31% ( 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 2-0 @ 7.47% ( 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 3-0 @ 3.99% ( 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 4-1 @ 1.99% 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 4-2 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 2.88% Total : 45.81% | 1-1 @ 11.56% 0-0 @ 5.8% ( 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 3-3 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.58% | 0-1 @ 7.21% ( 1-2 @ 7.19% ( 0-2 @ 4.48% ( 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0-3 @ 1.86% ( 1-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.59% Total : 29.6% |