Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 53.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 21.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
53.74% (![]() | 24.27% (![]() | 21.99% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.65% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.42% (![]() | 50.58% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.51% (![]() | 72.49% (![]() |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.25% (![]() | 18.75% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.86% (![]() | 50.13% (![]() |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.34% (![]() | 37.66% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.57% (![]() | 74.43% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
1-0 @ 11.81% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.89% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.66% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.52% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.39% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.63% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.31% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 3.15% Total : 53.73% | 1-1 @ 11.54% 0-0 @ 7.06% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.72% ( ![]() Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.27% | 0-1 @ 6.9% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.64% 0-2 @ 3.37% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.84% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.62% Total : 21.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 84 | 31 | 53 | 78 |
2 | Marseille | 31 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 66 | 43 | 23 | 58 |
3 | Lille | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 56 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 58 | 36 | 22 | 55 |
5 | Lyon | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 54 |
6 | Nice | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 54 |
7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 54 |
8 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 45 |
9 | Brest | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 44 |
10 | Auxerre | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
11 | Rennes | 31 | 12 | 2 | 17 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Toulouse | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 35 |
13 | Reims | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 33 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 32 |
15 | Angers | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 30 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 34 | 65 | -31 | 28 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 71 | -37 | 27 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 71 | -49 | 16 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |