Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 53.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 21.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 53.74% ( | 24.27% ( | 21.99% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.65% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.42% ( | 50.58% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.51% ( | 72.49% ( |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.25% ( | 18.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.86% ( | 50.13% ( |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.34% ( | 37.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.57% ( | 74.43% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 1-0 @ 11.81% ( 2-0 @ 9.89% ( 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 3-0 @ 5.52% ( 3-1 @ 5.39% ( 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 4-0 @ 2.31% ( 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 4-2 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 3.15% Total : 53.73% | 1-1 @ 11.54% 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 2-2 @ 4.72% ( Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.27% | 0-1 @ 6.9% ( 1-2 @ 5.64% 0-2 @ 3.37% ( 1-3 @ 1.84% ( 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.62% Total : 21.99% |