

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 48.59%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 25.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Toulouse |
| 48.59% ( | 25.47% ( | 25.94% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.25% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.11% ( | 51.89% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.36% ( | 73.64% ( |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.63% ( | 21.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.65% ( | 54.35% ( |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.18% ( | 34.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.45% ( | 71.55% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Toulouse |
| 1-0 @ 11.48% ( 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 2-0 @ 8.86% ( 3-1 @ 4.81% ( 3-0 @ 4.56% ( 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 4-0 @ 1.76% ( 4-2 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.4% Total : 48.58% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0-0 @ 7.44% ( 2-2 @ 4.93% ( Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 7.85% ( 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0-2 @ 4.14% ( 1-3 @ 2.25% ( 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0-3 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 2.12% Total : 25.94% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 35 | 57 | 84 |
| 2 | Marseille | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74 | 47 | 27 | 65 |
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 61 |
| 4 | Nice | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66 | 41 | 25 | 60 |
| 5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 60 |
| 6 | Lyon | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 57 |
| 7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 57 |
| 8 | Lens | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 52 |
| 9 | Brest | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 50 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | Auxerre | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 42 |
| 12 | Rennes | 34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 41 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | Angers | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 36 |
| 15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40 | 71 | -31 | 34 |
| 16 | Reims | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 33 |
| R | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39 | 77 | -38 | 30 |
| R | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23 | 79 | -56 | 16 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
