

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Rennes | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Toulouse | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Troyes | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Nantes | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Nice | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Reims | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 49.9%. A win for Nice had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Nice |
| 49.9% ( | 24.92% ( | 25.17% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.24% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.74% ( | 50.25% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.79% ( | 72.21% ( |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.85% ( | 20.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.57% ( | 52.43% ( |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.42% ( | 34.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.7% ( | 71.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Toulouse | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 11.16% 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 2-0 @ 8.94% ( 3-1 @ 5.07% ( 3-0 @ 4.77% ( 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 4-1 @ 2.03% ( 4-0 @ 1.91% ( 4-2 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.75% Total : 49.9% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 3-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.92% | 0-1 @ 7.4% ( 1-2 @ 6.29% ( 0-2 @ 3.93% ( 1-3 @ 2.23% ( 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0-3 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 2.15% Total : 25.17% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
| 2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
| 3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
| 4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
| 5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
| 6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
| 7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
| 8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
| 9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
| 10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
| 11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
| 14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
| 15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
| 17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
| R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
| R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
| R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
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