Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 56.16%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Toulouse win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nice in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Toulouse |
| 56.16% ( | 23.94% ( | 19.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.73% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.36% ( | 51.63% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.58% ( | 73.42% ( |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.77% | 18.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.74% | 49.26% ( |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.59% ( | 40.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.97% ( | 77.02% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Toulouse |
| 1-0 @ 12.53% ( 2-0 @ 10.67% ( 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 3-0 @ 6.06% ( 3-1 @ 5.49% ( 4-0 @ 2.58% ( 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 4-1 @ 2.34% ( 4-2 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 3.29% Total : 56.15% | 1-1 @ 11.36% 0-0 @ 7.37% ( 2-2 @ 4.38% ( Other @ 0.83% Total : 23.93% | 0-1 @ 6.67% ( 1-2 @ 5.15% ( 0-2 @ 3.02% ( 1-3 @ 1.56% ( 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.26% Total : 19.9% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
| 2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
| 4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
| 5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
| 6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
| 8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
| 9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
| 11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
| 13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
| 14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
| 15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
| 16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
| 17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
| R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
