Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 62.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 16.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Toulouse |
| 62.9% ( | 20.31% ( | 16.79% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.6% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.06% ( | 40.94% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.67% ( | 63.33% ( |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.57% ( | 12.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.66% ( | 38.34% ( |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.35% ( | 37.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.57% ( | 74.43% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | Toulouse |
| 2-0 @ 10.17% ( 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 1-0 @ 9.76% ( 3-0 @ 7.07% ( 3-1 @ 6.91% ( 4-0 @ 3.69% ( 4-1 @ 3.6% ( 3-2 @ 3.37% ( 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 5-0 @ 1.54% ( 5-1 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 3.59% Total : 62.89% | 1-1 @ 9.53% ( 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0-0 @ 4.68% ( 3-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.31% | 1-2 @ 4.65% ( 0-1 @ 4.57% ( 0-2 @ 2.23% ( 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 1-3 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 2.24% Total : 16.79% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 28 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 80 | 26 | 54 | 74 |
| 2 | MonacoMonaco | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 53 |
| 3 | Marseille | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 57 | 41 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Lille | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 50 |
| 5 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 49 |
| 6 | Lyon | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 54 | 38 | 16 | 48 |
| 7 | Nice | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 52 | 35 | 17 | 47 |
| 8 | Brest | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 43 |
| 9 | Lens | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 42 |
| 10 | Auxerre | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 38 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Rennes | 28 | 10 | 2 | 16 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 32 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 30 |
| 14 | Reims | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 29 |
| 15 | Angers | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 27 |
| 16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 28 | 8 | 3 | 17 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 27 |
| 17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 64 | -36 | 23 |
| 18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 28 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 21 | 64 | -43 | 15 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
