Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 62.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 16.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Toulouse | 
| 62.9% (  -0.19) | 20.31% (  0.1) | 16.79% (  0.09) | 
| Both teams to score 54.6% (  -0.16) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 59.06% (  -0.3) | 40.94% (  0.31) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 36.67% (  -0.31) | 63.33% (  0.31) | 
| Lille Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 87.57% (  -0.14) | 12.43% (  0.15) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.66% (  -0.31) | 38.34% (  0.31) | 
| Toulouse Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 62.35% (  -0.08) | 37.65% (  0.08) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.57% (  -0.07) | 74.43% (  0.08) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Lille | Draw | Toulouse | 
| 2-0 @ 10.17% (  0.03) 2-1 @ 9.94% (  0) 1-0 @ 9.76% (  0.08) 3-0 @ 7.07% (  -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.91% (  -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.69% (  -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.6% (  -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.37% (  -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.76% (  -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.54% (  -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.5% (  -0.02) Other @ 3.59% Total : 62.89% | 1-1 @ 9.53% (  0.06) 2-2 @ 4.85% (  -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.68% (  0.06) 3-3 @ 1.1% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.31% | 1-2 @ 4.65% (  0.02) 0-1 @ 4.57% (  0.05) 0-2 @ 2.23% (  0.02) 2-3 @ 1.58% (  -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.52% (  0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 16.79% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 28 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 80 | 26 | 54 | 74 | 
| 2 | MonacoMonaco | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 53 | 
| 3 | Marseille | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 57 | 41 | 16 | 52 | 
| 4 | Lille | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 50 | 
| 5 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 49 | 
| 6 | Lyon | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 54 | 38 | 16 | 48 | 
| 7 | Nice | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 52 | 35 | 17 | 47 | 
| 8 | Brest | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 43 | 
| 9 | Lens | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 42 | 
| 10 | Auxerre | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 38 | 
| 11 | Toulouse | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 34 | 
| 12 | Rennes | 28 | 10 | 2 | 16 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 32 | 
| 13 | NantesNantes | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 30 | 
| 14 | Reims | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 29 | 
| 15 | Angers | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 27 | 
| 16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 28 | 8 | 3 | 17 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 27 | 
| 17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 64 | -36 | 23 | 
| 18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 28 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 21 | 64 | -43 | 15 | 
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
