National League South | Gameweek 43
Apr 12, 2025 at 3pm UK
Hornchurch Stadium
Hornchurch1 - 3Truro City
Coverage of the National League South clash between AFC Hornchurch and Truro City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Welling United 0-0 Hornchurch
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
51
Last Game: Worthing 1-2 Truro City
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
65
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 55%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 20.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.55%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for an AFC Hornchurch win it was 1-0 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Truro City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AFC Hornchurch | Draw | Truro City |
20.58% ( -0.03) | 24.43% ( -0.02) | 55% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.28% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
