Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 70.72%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 12.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 2-1 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.