

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 52.76%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 23.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Boavista |
| 52.76% ( | 24.02% ( | 23.22% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.95% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.71% ( | 48.29% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.57% ( | 70.43% ( |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.74% ( | 18.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.7% ( | 49.3% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.78% ( | 35.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.02% ( | 71.98% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 10.93% ( 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 2-0 @ 9.3% ( 3-1 @ 5.5% ( 3-0 @ 5.27% ( 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 4-1 @ 2.34% ( 4-0 @ 2.24% ( 4-2 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 3.38% Total : 52.76% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0-0 @ 6.43% ( 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 3-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.02% | 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 1-2 @ 5.95% ( 0-2 @ 3.5% ( 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0-3 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 2% Total : 23.22% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 88 | 27 | 61 | 82 |
| 2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 84 | 28 | 56 | 80 |
| 3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65 | 30 | 35 | 71 |
| 4 | Braga | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 66 |
| 5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 57 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 54 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 47 |
| 8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 46 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 45 |
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 40 |
| 11 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 38 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 38 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 34 |
| 14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 34 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 50 | -26 | 29 |
| 16 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 27 |
| 17 | AVS | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 25 | 60 | -35 | 27 |
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 24 | 59 | -35 | 24 |
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