

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 2-1 (8.14%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Famalicao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Famalicao.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 42.18% ( | 28.79% ( | 29.03% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.97% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.77% ( | 62.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.09% ( | 81.91% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.83% ( | 29.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.89% ( | 65.11% ( |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.08% ( | 37.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.3% ( | 74.69% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 13.62% ( 2-0 @ 8.4% ( 2-1 @ 8.14% ( 3-0 @ 3.45% ( 3-1 @ 3.34% ( 3-2 @ 1.62% ( 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 4-1 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 1.52% Total : 42.18% | 1-1 @ 13.21% ( 0-0 @ 11.06% ( 2-2 @ 3.95% ( Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.78% | 0-1 @ 10.72% ( 1-2 @ 6.41% ( 0-2 @ 5.2% ( 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0-3 @ 1.68% ( 2-3 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 1.66% Total : 29.02% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 83 | 25 | 58 | 75 |
| 2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 80 | 25 | 55 | 75 |
| 3 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 64 |
| 4 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 57 | 28 | 29 | 62 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 51 |
| 6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 50 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 39 |
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 36 |
| 11 | Nacional | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 33 |
| 12 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 33 |
| 13 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 33 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 32 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 29 |
| 16 | AVS | 31 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 23 | 55 | -32 | 24 |
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 20 | 42 | -22 | 21 |
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 52 | -32 | 21 |
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