

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Famalicao win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Nacional has a probability of 26.37% and a draw has a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.89%). The likeliest Nacional win is 1-0 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.39%).
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Famalicao | 
| 26.37% (  -0.15) | 26.14% (  0.39) | 47.5% (  -0.24) | 
| Both teams to score 49.64% (  -1.27) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 45.84% (  -1.6) | 54.16% (  1.61) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 24.42% (  -1.36) | 75.58% (  1.36) | 
| Nacional Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 64.31% (  -0.99) | 35.69% (  0.99) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.54% (  -1.03) | 72.46% (  1.03) | 
| Famalicao Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.19% (  -0.78) | 22.81% (  0.79) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.48% (  -1.17) | 56.52% (  1.17) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Nacional | Draw | Famalicao | 
| 1-0 @ 8.39% (  0.3) 2-1 @ 6.39% (  -0.09) 2-0 @ 4.32% (  0.04) 3-1 @ 2.19% (  -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.62% (  -0.11) 3-0 @ 1.48% (  -0.03) Other @ 1.98% Total : 26.37% | 1-1 @ 12.39% (  0.16) 0-0 @ 8.14% (  0.5) 2-2 @ 4.72% (  -0.18) Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 12.03% (  0.47) 1-2 @ 9.16% (  -0.1) 0-2 @ 8.89% (  0.14) 1-3 @ 4.51% (  -0.16) 0-3 @ 4.38% (  -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.33% (  -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.67% (  -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.62% (  -0.05) Other @ 2.9% Total : 47.5% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 78 | 25 | 53 | 72 | 
| 2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 74 | 25 | 49 | 72 | 
| 3 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 25 | 26 | 63 | 
| 4 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 62 | 
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 48 | 
| 6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 47 | 
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 43 | 
| 8 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 41 | 
| 9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 39 | 
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 35 | 
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 33 | 
| 12 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 33 | 
| 13 | Nacional | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 32 | 
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 29 | 
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 26 | 
| 16 | AVS | 30 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 24 | 
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 21 | 
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 21 | 
| > Primeira Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
