

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Famalicao win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Nacional has a probability of 26.37% and a draw has a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.89%). The likeliest Nacional win is 1-0 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.39%).
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Famalicao |
| 26.37% ( | 26.14% ( | 47.5% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.64% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.84% ( | 54.16% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.42% ( | 75.58% ( |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.31% ( | 35.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.54% ( | 72.46% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.19% ( | 22.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.48% ( | 56.52% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Nacional | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 8.39% ( 2-1 @ 6.39% ( 2-0 @ 4.32% ( 3-1 @ 2.19% ( 3-2 @ 1.62% ( 3-0 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 1.98% Total : 26.37% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0-0 @ 8.14% ( 2-2 @ 4.72% ( Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 12.03% ( 1-2 @ 9.16% ( 0-2 @ 8.89% ( 1-3 @ 4.51% ( 0-3 @ 4.38% ( 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0-4 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 2.9% Total : 47.5% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 78 | 25 | 53 | 72 |
| 2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 74 | 25 | 49 | 72 |
| 3 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 25 | 26 | 63 |
| 4 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 62 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 48 |
| 6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 47 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 43 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 39 |
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 35 |
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 33 |
| 12 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 33 |
| 13 | Nacional | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 32 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 29 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 26 |
| 16 | AVS | 30 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 24 |
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 21 |
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 21 |
| > Primeira Liga Full Table | |||||||||
