Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 61.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 17.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.