Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 58.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 19.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for New York Red Bulls in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for New York Red Bulls.