MX23RW : Thursday, June 5 01:57:26| >> :300:86500:86500:
Atlanta United
Austin FC
Montreal Impact
Charlotte FC
Chicago Fire
Colorado Rapids
Columbus Crew
DC United
FC Dallas
FC Cincinnati
Houston Dynamo
Inter Miami
Los Angeles FC
LA Galaxy
Minnesota United
Nashville
New England Revolution
New York City
New York Red Bulls
Orlando City
Philadelphia Union
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders
Sporting Kansas
St Louis City
Toronto FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
New York Red Bulls
Major League Soccer
Mar 22, 2025 at 11.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Toronto FC

NY Red Bulls
2 - 1
Toronto

Forsberg (44' pen., 76')
Ngoma (74'), Carballo (90+2')
Carballo (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kerr (70')
Longstaff (24'), Bernardeschi (45+4'), Petretta (45+4'), Etienne (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-2 Orlando City
Saturday, March 15 at 6.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 1-2 Chicago Fire
Saturday, March 15 at 6.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: New York Red Bulls 2-1 Toronto

There are no signs that Toronto have fixed their leaky backline, and an opportunistic side like the Red Bulls should be able to take advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 58.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 19.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for New York Red Bulls in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for New York Red Bulls.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawToronto
58.32% (0.073 0.07) 22.5% (-0.032 -0.03) 19.17% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 51.93% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.24% (0.072000000000003 0.07)46.76% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.98% (0.065999999999999 0.07)69.02% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.28% (0.049000000000007 0.05)15.72% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.19% (0.090000000000003 0.09)44.8% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)38.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)75.13% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 58.31%
    Toronto 19.17%
    Draw 22.5%
New York Red BullsDrawToronto
1-0 @ 11.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.32%
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.37% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.1% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.95% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.82% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.09% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.04% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 58.31%
1-1 @ 10.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.03% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.74% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.5%
0-1 @ 5.78% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.12% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.77% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 19.17%

How you voted: NY Red Bulls vs Toronto

New York Red Bulls
100%
Draw
0.0%
Toronto
0.0%
10
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2024 12.30am
Toronto
1-4
NY Red Bulls
Osei Owusu (66' pen.)
Osorio (30'), Bernardeschi (43'), Thompson (80')
Bernardeschi (75')
Forsberg (27' pen.), Tolkin (48'), Morgan (69' pen.), Manoel (88')
Meara (23'), Reyes (38')
Jul 28, 2024 1am
Group Stage
NY Red Bulls
0-0
Toronto
(Aggregate 0-0 | NY Red Bulls win 0-0 on penalties)
Gomis (25')
Jun 23, 2024 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
3-0
Toronto
Manoel (30'), Gjengaar (47'), Harper (75')
Edelman (68'), Eile (90+2')

Longstaff (54'), Flores (86')
Oct 8, 2023 12.30am
May 18, 2023 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1483324121227
2Columbus Crew147522218426
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati158252121026
4Inter MiamiInter Miami137332619724
5New York City FCNY City157352017324
6Nashville SCNashville146442417722
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC147162218422
8Chicago Fire156452828022
9Orlando City145632518721
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146352115621
11New England RevolutionNew England136341510521
12DC United144461526-1116
13Toronto143471619-313
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta153481727-1013
15CF MontrealMontreal141310725-186

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1484225131228
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle145542318520
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145272722517
8Dallas144551522-717
9Austin FCAustin14527817-917
10St Louis City143471118-713
11Houston DynamoHouston143471422-813
12Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144191321-813
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas133281923-411
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy131481229-177
15San Diego FC00000000


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!