Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 58.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 19.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for New York Red Bulls in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for New York Red Bulls.
Result | ||
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Toronto |
58.32% (![]() | 22.5% (![]() | 19.17% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.93% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.24% (![]() | 46.76% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.98% (![]() | 69.02% (![]() |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.28% (![]() | 15.72% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.19% (![]() | 44.8% (![]() |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.62% (![]() | 38.38% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.87% (![]() | 75.13% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Toronto |
1-0 @ 11.16% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.32% 2-1 @ 9.89% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.37% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.1% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.95% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.92% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.82% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.35% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.09% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 2.3% Total : 58.31% | 1-1 @ 10.69% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.03% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.74% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.5% | 0-1 @ 5.78% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.12% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.36% Total : 19.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 27 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 26 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 26 |
4 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 24 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 24 |
6 | Nashville SCNashville | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 22 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
8 | Chicago Fire | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 22 |
9 | Orlando City | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 21 |
10 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 21 |
11 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 21 |
12 | DC United | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
13 | Toronto | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 13 |
14 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 25 | -18 | 6 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 28 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 28 |
3 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 22 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 19 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 19 |
7 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 17 |
8 | Dallas | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 17 |
10 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 13 |
11 | Houston DynamoHouston | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
12 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 11 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 7 |
15 | San Diego FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |