The 2023 MLS season is now up and running, and you can watch every game live with the MLS season pass on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Toronto | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
46.6% (![]() | 25% (![]() | 28.39% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.64% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.65% (![]() | 48.35% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.51% (![]() | 70.49% (![]() |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.21% (![]() | 20.78% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.56% (![]() | 53.43% (![]() |
Real Salt Lake Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.98% (![]() | 31.02% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.67% (![]() | 67.33% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Toronto | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
1-0 @ 10.12% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.31% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.96% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.88% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.17% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.85% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.92% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.64% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 2.64% Total : 46.59% | 1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 6.45% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.45% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 7.55% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.94% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.42% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.71% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.72% ( ![]() Other @ 2.93% Total : 28.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 44 |
2 | Nashville SCNashville | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 38 |
3 | New England RevolutionNew England | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 37 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 34 |
5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 32 |
7 | Orlando City | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 31 |
8 | DC United | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 26 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 26 |
10 | New York City FCNY City | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 24 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 24 |
12 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 23 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 23 |
14 | Toronto | 21 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 19 |
15 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 19 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 35 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 32 |
3 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 32 |
4 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 30 |
5 | Dallas | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 29 |
6 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 28 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 27 |
8 | Austin FCAustin | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 25 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 24 |
11 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 24 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 22 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 16 |
14 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 20 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 14 |