The 2023 MLS season is now up and running, and you can watch every game live with the MLS season pass on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 66.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 13.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
Result | ||
New England Revolution | Draw | Toronto |
66.9% (![]() | 19.2% | 13.9% |
Both teams to score 51.3% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.23% | 41.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.82% | 64.17% (![]() |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.43% (![]() | 11.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.47% (![]() | 36.52% |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.01% | 41.99% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.57% | 78.43% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
New England Revolution | Draw | Toronto |
2-0 @ 11.29% (![]() 1-0 @ 10.47% 2-1 @ 9.81% 3-0 @ 8.12% 3-1 @ 7.05% 4-0 @ 4.38% 4-1 @ 3.8% 3-2 @ 3.06% 5-0 @ 1.89% 4-2 @ 1.65% 5-1 @ 1.64% Other @ 3.73% Total : 66.88% | 1-1 @ 9.09% 0-0 @ 4.86% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 1% Total : 19.2% | 0-1 @ 4.22% 1-2 @ 3.95% 0-2 @ 1.83% 2-3 @ 1.23% 1-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.54% Total : 13.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 43 |
2 | New England RevolutionNew England | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 36 |
3 | Nashville SCNashville | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 35 |
4 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 34 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 31 |
6 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 29 |
7 | Orlando City | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 28 |
8 | DC United | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 26 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 26 |
10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 24 |
11 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 23 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 23 |
13 | New York City FCNY City | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
14 | Toronto | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
15 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 15 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 37 | 24 | 13 | 32 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 32 |
3 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 29 |
4 | Houston DynamoHouston | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 27 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 27 |
6 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 27 |
7 | Dallas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 26 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 25 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 25 |
10 | Portland TimbersPortland | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 21 |
12 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 21 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
14 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 14 |