

The 2023 MLS season is now up and running, and you can watch every game live with the MLS season pass on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe.
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, June 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Thursday, June 22 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
We said: New England Revolution 3-0 Toronto
TFC have struggled to create many scoring opportunities away from home, and their backline is too inconsistent from one match to another for us to believe they will be able to shut down a side in New England with plenty of attacking threats.How to watch
You can watch New England Revolution vs. Toronto and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 66.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 13.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
Result | ||
New England Revolution | Draw | Toronto |
66.9% (![]() | 19.2% | 13.9% |
Both teams to score 51.3% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.23% | 41.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.82% | 64.17% (![]() |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.43% (![]() | 11.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.47% (![]() | 36.52% |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.01% | 41.99% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.57% | 78.43% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
New England Revolution | Draw | Toronto |
2-0 @ 11.29% (![]() 1-0 @ 10.47% 2-1 @ 9.81% 3-0 @ 8.12% 3-1 @ 7.05% 4-0 @ 4.38% 4-1 @ 3.8% 3-2 @ 3.06% 5-0 @ 1.89% 4-2 @ 1.65% 5-1 @ 1.64% Other @ 3.73% Total : 66.88% | 1-1 @ 9.09% 0-0 @ 4.86% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 1% Total : 19.2% | 0-1 @ 4.22% 1-2 @ 3.95% 0-2 @ 1.83% 2-3 @ 1.23% 1-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.54% Total : 13.9% |