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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 68.57%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 12.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
Result | ||
Philadelphia Union | Draw | Inter Miami |
68.57% (![]() | 19.01% (![]() | 12.42% (![]() |
Both teams to score 47.65% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.61% (![]() | 44.39% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.24% (![]() | 66.76% (![]() |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.13% (![]() | 11.87% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.83% (![]() | 37.17% (![]() |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.07% (![]() | 45.93% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.33% (![]() | 81.67% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Philadelphia Union | Draw | Inter Miami |
2-0 @ 12.38% (![]() 1-0 @ 11.62% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.63% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.79% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.84% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.69% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.65% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.66% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.42% ( ![]() Other @ 3.34% Total : 68.57% | 1-1 @ 9.04% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.45% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.75% ( ![]() Other @ 0.77% Total : 19.01% | 0-1 @ 4.24% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.52% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.65% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 0.97% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 1.13% Total : 12.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 43 |
2 | New England RevolutionNew England | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 36 |
3 | Nashville SCNashville | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 35 |
4 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 34 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 31 |
6 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 29 |
7 | Orlando City | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 28 |
8 | DC United | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 26 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 26 |
10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 24 |
11 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 23 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 23 |
13 | New York City FCNY City | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
14 | Toronto | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
15 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 15 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 37 | 24 | 13 | 32 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 32 |
3 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 29 |
4 | Houston DynamoHouston | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 27 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 27 |
6 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 27 |
7 | Dallas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 26 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 25 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 25 |
10 | Portland TimbersPortland | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 21 |
12 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 21 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
14 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 14 |