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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 65.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 14.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 0-1 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.