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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 58.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Austin FC | Draw | Minnesota United |
58.3% (![]() | 22.6% (![]() | 19.1% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.51% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.73% (![]() | 47.27% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.51% (![]() | 69.49% (![]() |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.1% (![]() | 15.9% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.86% (![]() | 45.15% (![]() |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.25% (![]() | 38.75% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.51% (![]() | 75.49% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Austin FC | Draw | Minnesota United |
1-0 @ 11.33% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.41% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.88% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.38% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.05% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.08% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 2.23% Total : 58.29% | 1-1 @ 10.74% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.16% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.68% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.6% | 0-1 @ 5.84% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.09% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.61% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.48% ( ![]() Other @ 2.31% Total : 19.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 36 |
2 | Nashville SCNashville | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 28 |
3 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 27 |
4 | New England RevolutionNew England | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 26 |
5 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 21 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 21 |
8 | DC United | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 20 |
9 | Orlando City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 20 |
10 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 19 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 19 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 17 |
13 | Toronto | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 17 |
14 | New York City FCNY City | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 16 |
15 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 15 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 15 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 26 |
2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 26 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 25 |
4 | Dallas | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 24 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 22 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Austin FCAustin | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 19 |
9 | Houston DynamoHouston | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 18 |
10 | Portland TimbersPortland | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 16 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 16 |
12 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 16 |
13 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 12 |