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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 67.42%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 13.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 0-1 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
Result | ||
Columbus Crew | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
67.42% (![]() | 18.93% (![]() | 13.64% |
Both teams to score 51.5% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.86% (![]() | 41.14% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.47% (![]() | 63.53% (![]() |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.75% | 11.25% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.17% (![]() | 35.82% (![]() |
Colorado Rapids Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.03% (![]() | 41.97% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.59% (![]() | 78.41% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Columbus Crew | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
2-0 @ 11.26% 1-0 @ 10.31% 2-1 @ 9.78% 3-0 @ 8.21% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.13% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.48% 4-1 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 3.09% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.96% 5-1 @ 1.7% 4-2 @ 1.69% Other @ 3.91% Total : 67.41% | 1-1 @ 8.96% 0-0 @ 4.72% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.25% ( ![]() Other @ 1.01% Total : 18.93% | 0-1 @ 4.1% 1-2 @ 3.89% 0-2 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.23% 1-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.52% Total : 13.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 36 |
2 | Nashville SCNashville | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 28 |
3 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 27 |
4 | New England RevolutionNew England | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 26 |
5 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 21 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 21 |
8 | DC United | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 20 |
9 | Orlando City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 20 |
10 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 19 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 19 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 17 |
13 | Toronto | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 17 |
14 | New York City FCNY City | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 16 |
15 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 15 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 15 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 26 |
2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 26 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 25 |
4 | Dallas | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 24 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 22 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Austin FCAustin | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 19 |
9 | Houston DynamoHouston | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 18 |
10 | Portland TimbersPortland | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 16 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 16 |
12 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 16 |
13 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 12 |