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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
May 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK
TQL Stadium
Columbus Crew
Cincinnati
3 - 2
Columbus Crew
Acosta (17', 23' pen.), Moreno (67')
Miazga (63')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Zelarayan (40'), Amundsen (52')
Amundsen (72')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-0 Montreal
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew

All competitions
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-0 LA Galaxy
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-0 Columbus Crew

 Cincinnati are in brilliant form, and although Columbus have done well to snap their winless streak, we think the Orange and Blue will be tough to stop here, so we are siding with a home victory.

How to watch

You can watch FC Cincinnati vs. Columbus Crew and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawColumbus Crew
47.08% (-0.576 -0.58) 24.87% (0.223 0.22) 28.06% (0.354 0.35)
Both teams to score 54.85% (-0.463 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.03% (-0.731 -0.73)47.97% (0.733 0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.86% (-0.676 -0.68)70.14% (0.67700000000001 0.68)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.58% (-0.53700000000001 -0.54)20.43% (0.539 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.13% (-0.86 -0.86)52.87% (0.863 0.86)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.93% (-0.11500000000001 -0.12)31.07% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.61% (-0.135 -0.13)67.39% (0.137 0.14)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 47.08%
    Columbus Crew 28.06%
    Draw 24.87%
FC CincinnatiDrawColumbus Crew
1-0 @ 10.08% (0.137 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.01% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.96% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-0 @ 4.24% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.68% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 47.08%
1-1 @ 11.78% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 6.35% (0.191 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.87%
0-1 @ 7.42% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 6.89% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.34% (0.103 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.68% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 28.06%

Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 12.30am
Cincinnati
2-2
Columbus Crew
Vazquez (36'), Miazga (77')
Moreno (43')
Etienne (74'), Moreira (90+6')
Degenek (47')
Jul 18, 2022 12.30am
Columbus Crew
2-0
Cincinnati
Camilo Hernandez (16'), Zelarayan (86' pen.)
Moreira (78')

Hagglund (47'), Nwobodo (84')
Aug 27, 2021 11.30pm
gameweek 27
Columbus Crew
3-2
Cincinnati
Zelarayan (45'), Berry (81', 83')
Matarrita (45+3'), Atanga (75')
Jul 10, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 16
Cincinnati
2-2
Columbus Crew
Castillo (1'), Acosta (24')
Castillo (28'), Kubo (32'), Cameron (45+7'), Vallecilla (61'), Barreal (72'), Stanko (88')
Zelarayan (45+1'), Berry (77')
Afful (17'), Mensah (39')
Afful (42')
Oct 15, 2020 12.30am
gameweek 18
Cincinnati
2-1
Columbus Crew
Kubo (17' pen.), Hagglund (49')
Gutman (7')
Santos (45' pen.)
Alashe (31'), Mensah (37'), Boateng (45+2'), Morris (90+3')
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Tables

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati1410312214833
2Nashville SCNashville1584322101228
3New England RevolutionNew England147432217525
4Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia147342315824
5Atlanta UnitedAtlanta156542925423
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC156362025-521
7Orlando City145541717020
8DC United155462018219
9Columbus Crew145362620618
10CF MontrealMontreal146081322-918
11Chicago Fire143742124-316
12New York City FCNY City144461619-316
13New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls153751013-316
14Toronto153751519-416
15Inter MiamiInter Miami145091418-415

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1St Louis City1482429141526
2Seattle SoundersSeattle158252113826
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles1274123101325
4Dallas156631714324
5San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145451819-119
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd145451315-219
7Houston DynamoHouston135351312118
8Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver144551917217
9Portland TimbersPortland154471924-516
10Austin FCAustin144461420-616
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144461423-916
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas153481322-913
13Colorado RapidsColorado152671222-1012
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy142391024-149
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