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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.
Result | ||
St Louis City | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
41.27% (![]() | 24.64% (![]() | 34.1% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.62% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.64% (![]() | 44.37% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.26% (![]() | 66.74% (![]() |
St Louis City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.46% (![]() | 21.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.4% (![]() | 54.6% (![]() |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.7% (![]() | 25.3% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.93% (![]() | 60.07% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
St Louis City | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
2-1 @ 8.83% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.37% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.42% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.52% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.29% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.11% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.26% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 2.56% Total : 41.27% | 1-1 @ 11.49% 2-2 @ 6.07% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.45% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.42% ( ![]() Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.63% | 1-2 @ 7.9% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.49% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.15% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.62% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 2.6% Total : 34.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Nashville SCNashville | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 25 |
3 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 25 |
4 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 24 |
5 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 21 |
7 | Orlando City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 20 |
8 | DC United | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 18 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 18 |
11 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 16 |
12 | New York City FCNY City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 16 |
13 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 16 |
14 | Toronto | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 16 |
15 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 26 |
2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 26 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 25 |
4 | Dallas | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 24 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 19 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 18 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 17 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 16 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 16 |
11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 16 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 13 |
13 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 9 |