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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
Mar 5, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Orlando City Stadium
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City
0 - 0
Cincinnati

Cartagena (27')
FT

Santos (90+1')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cincinnati 2-1 Houston
Sunday, February 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 2-2 FC Cincinnati

Saturday's match should be a closely-fought encounter between two teams of similar standing. Orlando's terrific home form and Cincinnati's momentum from last season suggest that a high-scoring draw is a likely outcome.

How to watch

You can watch Orlando City vs. FC Cincinnati and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 54.64%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 23.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawFC Cincinnati
54.64% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05) 22.33% (0.070999999999998 0.07) 23.03% (-0.029 -0.03)
Both teams to score 58.34% (-0.284 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.96% (-0.36 -0.36)41.04% (0.355 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.57% (-0.367 -0.37)63.43% (0.36199999999999 0.36)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.03% (-0.14200000000001 -0.14)14.97% (0.137 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.6% (-0.265 -0.27)43.4% (0.259 0.26)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.61% (-0.224 -0.22)31.39% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.24% (-0.259 -0.26)67.76% (0.254 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 54.64%
    FC Cincinnati 23.03%
    Draw 22.33%
Orlando CityDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.92% (0.101 0.1)
2-0 @ 8.47% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.22% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.36% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.6% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.55% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.12% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 54.64%
1-1 @ 10.34% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.7% (0.076 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.33%
1-2 @ 5.99% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 5.45% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.16% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 23.03%

Head to Head
Jun 25, 2022 12.30am
Mar 13, 2022 12.30am
Orlando City
1-2
Cincinnati
Urso (42')
Jansson (58'), Urso (73'), Carlos (81')
Vazquez (13', 53')
Vazquez (37'), Blackett (61'), Kubo (63'), Kann (90+2')
Oct 17, 2021 12.30am
Aug 8, 2021 12.30am
Cincinnati
1-1
Orlando City
Brenner (42')
Matarrita (53')
Nani (56')
Schlegel (68'), Mueller (77'), Dezart (84')
May 2, 2021 12.30am
Orlando City
3-0
Cincinnati
Akindele (1'), Nani (19'), Urso (80')
Mendez (26'), Mueller (62')

Stanko (78')
rhs 2.0
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati27176444301457
2New England RevolutionNew England26138545311447
3Orlando City27138641311047
4Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia26144847311646
5Columbus Crew27136854371745
6Atlanta UnitedAtlanta2811985143842
7Nashville SCNashville2711793227540
8CF MontrealMontreal27112142840-1235
9DC United2796123738-133
10Chicago Fire2788113242-1032
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC2671093443-931
12New York City FCNY City28612102836-830
13New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls2778122433-929
14Inter MiamiInter Miami2574142737-1025
15Toronto27410132339-1622

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1St Louis City271521053351847
2Seattle SoundersSeattle2811893429541
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles26117840301040
4Real Salt LakeSalt Lake2711793839-140
5Houston DynamoHouston27116103631539
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2610884336738
7Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd269983332136
8San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes279993236-436
9Dallas2697102930-134
10Austin FCAustin2796123843-533
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas2788113637-132
12Portland TimbersPortland2779113244-1230
13Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy2578103139-829
14Colorado RapidsColorado26310131639-2319

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