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DC United
Major League Soccer
Oct 9, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
RFK Stadium
FC Cincinnati
DC United
2 - 5
Cincinnati
Morrison (26'), Fletcher (46')
Birnbaum (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-4)
Acosta (6'), Brenner (8', 24', 37'), Vazquez (53')
Moreno (30'), Barreal (61')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 1-0 DC United
Sunday, October 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-3 Chicago Fire
Sunday, October 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: DC United 1-2 FC Cincinnati

The pressure of the game will make this a tense affair for FC Cincinnati, but they should be able to get past a DC United team that has not won in five games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for DC United had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest DC United win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
DC UnitedDrawFC Cincinnati
36.78% (0.106 0.11) 25.06% (0.026 0.03) 38.16% (-0.133 -0.13)
Both teams to score 57.55% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.08% (-0.112 -0.11)45.92% (0.111 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.77% (-0.106 -0.11)68.23% (0.105 0.11)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)24.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.03% (0.009999999999998 0.01)58.97% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.24% (-0.121 -0.12)23.76% (0.12 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.09% (-0.173 -0.17)57.91% (0.173 0.17)
Score Analysis
    DC United 36.78%
    FC Cincinnati 38.16%
    Draw 25.05%
DC UnitedDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.19% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.76% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.88% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.7% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 36.78%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.82% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.05%
1-2 @ 8.46% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 8.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.01% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.05% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.88% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 38.16%

How you voted: DC United vs Cincinnati

DC United
5.3%
Draw
26.3%
FC Cincinnati
68.4%
19
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 11pm
Cincinnati
0-1
DC United

Blackett (90+4')
Kamara (90+8' pen.)
Smith (90+1')
Nyeman (80')
Sep 26, 2021 12.30am
DC United
4-2
Cincinnati
Arriola (7', 41'), Birnbaum (21'), Robertha (72')
Hamid (34')
Vazquez (80'), Acosta (84')
Aug 1, 2021 12.30am
Cincinnati
0-0
DC United

Gyau (36'), Acosta (60'), Hagglund (64')

Moreno (15'), Mora (41'), Reyna (72')
Nyeman (52'), Mora (90+2')
Oct 19, 2020 12.30am
Aug 22, 2020 12.30am
Cincinnati
0-0
DC United

Deplagne (13'), Stanko (37')

Canouse (35'), Flores (88'), Abu (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1New England RevolutionNew England11731189924
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati117311512324
3Nashville SCNashville11533146818
4Atlanta UnitedAtlanta115332018218
5New York City FCNY City114341414015
6Columbus Crew104241912714
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia104241513214
8DC United114251515014
9Orlando City104241012-214
10Inter MiamiInter Miami104061011-112
11Toronto112631315-212
12Charlotte FCCharlotte FC113351321-812
13CF MontrealMontreal10406917-812
14Chicago Fire102531316-311
15New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls11164711-49

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1St Louis City1162322121020
2Seattle SoundersSeattle11623189920
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles9531178918
4San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes115331514118
5Dallas114431211116
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver10352149514
7Houston DynamoHouston9423108214
8Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd103341011-112
9Portland TimbersPortland113351518-312
10Colorado RapidsColorado11263912-312
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake103251017-711
12Austin FCAustin102441016-610
13Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy10136817-96
14Sporting Kansas CityKansas11137516-116

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