

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 61.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 16.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.83%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Gillingham | 
| 61.38% ( | 22.34% ( | 16.28% ( | 
| Both teams to score 46.99% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 49.47% ( | 50.53% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 27.55% ( | 72.45% ( | 
| Salford City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 84.01% ( | 15.99% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.7% ( | 45.3% ( | 
| Gillingham Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 55.93% ( | 44.06% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.82% ( | 80.17% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Salford City | Draw | Gillingham | 
| 1-0 @ 12.91% ( 2-0 @ 11.83% 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 3-0 @ 7.24% ( 3-1 @ 5.93% ( 4-0 @ 3.32% ( 4-1 @ 2.72% ( 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 5-0 @ 1.22% ( 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 5-1 @ 1% ( Other @ 1.97% Total : 61.37%  | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0-0 @ 7.05% ( 2-2 @ 3.98% ( Other @ 0.73% Total : 22.33%  | 0-1 @ 5.77% ( 1-2 @ 4.34% ( 0-2 @ 2.37% ( 1-3 @ 1.19% ( 2-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 1.53% Total : 16.28%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Leyton Orient | 46 | 26 | 13 | 7 | 61 | 34 | 27 | 91 | 
| P | Stevenage | 46 | 24 | 13 | 9 | 61 | 39 | 22 | 85 | 
| P | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 83 | 
| 4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 22 | 13 | 11 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 79 | 
| 5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 20 | 16 | 10 | 66 | 43 | 23 | 76 | 
| 6 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 20 | 16 | 10 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 76 | 
| 7 | Salford City | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 72 | 54 | 18 | 75 | 
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 72 | 55 | 17 | 75 | 
| 9 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 8 | 20 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 62 | 
| 10 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 61 | 
| 11 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 61 | 
| 12 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 58 | 
| 13 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 58 | 
| 14 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 58 | 
| 15 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53 | 56 | -3 | 57 | 
| 16 | Walsall | 46 | 12 | 19 | 15 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 55 | 
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 55 | 
| 18 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 46 | 65 | -19 | 55 | 
| 19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 68 | -9 | 52 | 
| 20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 49 | 
| 21 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 11 | 15 | 20 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 48 | 
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 48 | 71 | -23 | 46 | 
| R | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 9 | 16 | 21 | 52 | 78 | -26 | 43 | 
| R | Rochdale | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 46 | 70 | -24 | 38 | 
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