Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria Under-20s win with a probability of 84.52%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Dominican Republic Under-20s had a probability of 4.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria Under-20s win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.77%) and 4-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.15%), while for a Dominican Republic Under-20s win it was 0-1 (1.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nigeria Under-20s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nigeria Under-20s | Draw | Dominican Republic Under-20s |
| 84.52% ( | 10.83% ( | 4.65% ( |
| Both teams to score 40.46% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.9% ( | 33.1% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.16% ( | 54.84% ( |
| Nigeria Under-20s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.42% ( | 5.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 78.32% ( | 21.68% ( |
| Dominican Republic Under-20s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.85% ( | 57.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 10.87% ( | 89.12% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Nigeria Under-20s | Draw | Dominican Republic Under-20s |
| 2-0 @ 13.27% ( 3-0 @ 12.77% ( 4-0 @ 9.22% ( 1-0 @ 9.2% ( 2-1 @ 7.43% ( 3-1 @ 7.15% ( 5-0 @ 5.32% ( 4-1 @ 5.16% ( 5-1 @ 2.98% ( 6-0 @ 2.56% ( 3-2 @ 2% ( 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 6-1 @ 1.43% ( 7-0 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 3.52% Total : 84.5% | 1-1 @ 5.15% ( 0-0 @ 3.19% ( 2-2 @ 2.08% ( Other @ 0.41% Total : 10.83% | 0-1 @ 1.78% ( 1-2 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 1.43% Total : 4.65% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 37 | 28 | 5 | 4 | 94 | 32 | 62 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 37 | 25 | 6 | 6 | 83 | 43 | 40 | 81 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 37 | 22 | 6 | 9 | 56 | 42 | 14 | 72 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 37 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 70 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 71 | 43 | 28 | 66 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 37 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 58 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 66 | 62 | 4 | 57 |
| 9 | Brentford | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 56 |
| 10 | Fulham | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 54 | 51 | 3 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 44 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 43 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 41 | 53 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 37 | 67 | -30 | 37 |
| 17 | Everton | 37 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 33 | 57 | -24 | 33 |
| 18 | Leicester CityLeicester | 37 | 8 | 7 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 31 |
| 19 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 47 | 74 | -27 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 37 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 32 | 69 | -37 | 24 |
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