Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 68.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Elche had a probability of 11.29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.4%) and 3-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.