Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Elche had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Elche | Draw | Sevilla |
30.83% ( -0.34) | 27.18% ( -0) | 41.99% ( 0.35) |
Both teams to score 49.23% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.02% ( -0.09) | 55.98% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.93% ( -0.07) | 77.07% ( 0.08) |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.81% ( -0.29) | 33.19% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.21% ( -0.32) | 69.79% ( 0.33) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.69% ( 0.15) | 26.31% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.56% ( 0.19) | 61.44% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Elche | Draw | Sevilla |
1-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.5% Total : 30.83% | 1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.59% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.14% Total : 41.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |