Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 71.13%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Elche had a probability of 10.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.8%) and 3-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sevilla in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sevilla.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Elche |
71.13% | 18.37% | 10.5% |
Both teams to score 43.43% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.41% | 46.59% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.14% | 68.86% |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.2% | 11.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.98% | 37.02% |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.24% | 50.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.82% | 85.18% |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Elche |
2-0 @ 13.67% 1-0 @ 12.8% 3-0 @ 9.74% 2-1 @ 9.28% 3-1 @ 6.61% 4-0 @ 5.21% 4-1 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 2.24% 5-0 @ 2.23% 5-1 @ 1.51% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.11% Total : 71.12% | 1-1 @ 8.68% 0-0 @ 5.99% 2-2 @ 3.15% Other @ 0.56% Total : 18.37% | 0-1 @ 4.06% 1-2 @ 2.94% 0-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.12% Total : 10.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 36 | 27 | 4 | 5 | 66 | 18 | 48 | 85 |
2 | Real Madrid | 36 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 72 | 34 | 38 | 74 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 66 | 30 | 36 | 73 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 36 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 48 | 32 | 16 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 56 | 36 | 20 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 56 |
7 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 50 |
8 | GironaGirona | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 49 |
9 | Sevilla | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
10 | Osasuna | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 47 |
11 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 43 | 49 | -6 | 46 |
12 | Mallorca | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 44 |
13 | Valencia | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 40 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 40 |
15 | Almeria | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 39 |
16 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 38 |
17 | Getafe | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 38 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 36 | 11 | 5 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 38 |
19 | Espanyol | 36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 47 | 64 | -17 | 35 |
R | ElcheElche | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 28 | 66 | -38 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |