Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 47.88%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 26.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Sevilla |
| 26.39% | 25.73% | 47.88% |
| Both teams to score 50.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.43% | 52.56% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.77% | 74.22% |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.19% | 34.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.46% | 71.54% |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.04% | 21.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.75% | 55.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Valencia | Draw | Sevilla |
| 1-0 @ 8.07% 2-1 @ 6.45% 2-0 @ 4.26% 3-1 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 1.72% 3-0 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.12% Total : 26.39% | 1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 7.64% 2-2 @ 4.89% Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 11.58% 1-2 @ 9.27% 0-2 @ 8.78% 1-3 @ 4.68% 0-3 @ 4.44% 2-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.78% 0-4 @ 1.68% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.25% Total : 47.87% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 29 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 53 | 9 | 44 | 73 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 61 | 24 | 37 | 62 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 47 | 21 | 26 | 60 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 51 |
| 5 | Real BetisBetis | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 48 |
| 6 | Villarreal | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 47 |
| 7 | Athletic Bilbao | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 43 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 40 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 38 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 38 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 36 |
| 12 | Sevilla | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 35 |
| 13 | Mallorca | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 34 |
| 14 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 32 |
| 15 | Getafe | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 31 |
| 16 | CadizCadiz | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 31 |
| 17 | Almeria | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 30 |
| 18 | Valencia | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 27 |
| 19 | Espanyol | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 27 |
| 20 | ElcheElche | 29 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 59 | -39 | 13 |
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