Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 52.77%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 24.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.