

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sevilla in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Villarreal |
| 39.74% ( | 24.83% ( | 35.43% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.23% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.01% ( | 44.99% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.66% ( | 67.34% ( |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.45% ( | 22.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.87% ( | 56.13% ( |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.18% ( | 24.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.59% ( | 59.41% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | Villarreal |
| 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 1-0 @ 8.34% ( 2-0 @ 6.21% ( 3-1 @ 4.3% ( 3-0 @ 3.08% ( 3-2 @ 2.99% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.31% Total : 39.74% | 1-1 @ 11.61% 2-2 @ 6.03% 0-0 @ 5.6% ( 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.82% | 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0-1 @ 7.8% 0-2 @ 5.43% ( 1-3 @ 3.76% ( 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.43% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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