There is no downplaying the importance of this match to both teams, and it should be an entertaining match on Sunday evening. Villarreal are the form team entering this game, but Real Sociedad have enough quality to secure a share of the spoils this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
0.28) 
-0.32) 
