Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.